Russian attacks intensify in eastern Ukraine amid drone warfare escalation
Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine escalate amid drone warfare. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 18% YES. The post Russian attacks in...
Jul 21open_in_new
ON (ON) — News
38,383 articles · updated every 3 minutes
South African rand strengthens as oil prices drop on US-Iran mediation hopes
South African rand strengthens as oil prices drop amid US-Iran mediation hopes. Oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 6.5% YES. The post...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran unlikely to ease stance despite US military actions, standoff prolonged
Iran unlikely to soften its stance amid U.S. military actions. Deal in 2026 for reconstruction funding at 29% YES, uranium cap at 32.5% YES. The post ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Anthropic settles $2B lawsuit over pirated books for AI training
Anthropic settles $1.5 billion lawsuit over pirated books. Valuation hitting $1.25 trillion by December at 91.5% YES. The post Anthropic settles $2B l...
Jul 21open_in_new
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‘The Next Crisis Has Already Begun’: Europe’s Top Official Urges FIFA to Act
Council of Europe Secretary General Alain Berset has urged FIFA to begin work on a new integrity framework for the 2030 World Cup, directly linking pl...
Jul 21open_in_new
US military severs Iran’s communications with Khark and Qeshm islands
US military cuts Iran's communications with Khark and Qeshm islands. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 24.5% YES, by August 31 at 46.5% YES. The pos...
Jul 21open_in_new
Base to launch 1:1-backed tokenized US equities soon, says lead developer
Base plans to launch 1:1-backed tokenized U.S. equities soon. Token launch by December 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES. The post Base to launch 1:1-backed token...
Jul 21open_in_new
Saudi-led coalition vows to protect ships amid Houthi blockade escalation
Saudi-led coalition vows to protect ships amid Houthi blockade escalation. Houthis successfully targeting shipping by July 31 at 59% YES. The post Sau...
Jul 21open_in_new
Gold prices rise nearly 2% to $4,080/oz amid Treasury yield surge
Gold prices rose nearly 2% to $4,080/oz amid rising Treasury yields. Gold at $4,600 in July 2026 priced at 0.8% YES. The post Gold prices rise nearly ...
Jul 21open_in_new
US may halt Iran offensive operations by August 31, 2026: Polymarket
US may halt offensive operations against Iran by August 31, 2026. Market at 65% YES. The post US may halt Iran offensive operations by August 31, 2026...
Jul 21open_in_new
US strikes Iranian targets, nearly 100 soldiers injured since July: Pentagon
US strikes Iranian targets, escalating tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 13.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% Y...
Jul 21open_in_new
IRGC destroys US radar, strikes bases in Kuwait amid rising tensions
IRGC strikes US radar and bases in Kuwait, signaling escalation. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 51% YES. The post IRGC destroys US...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran attacks Amazon’s data infrastructure in Bahrain, claims retaliation
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards reportedly attacked Amazon's data infrastructure in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 51...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran claims attack on US commercial target in Bahrain amid rising tensions
Iran's IRGC claims an attack on a US target in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 51% YES. The post Iran claims attack on US ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Diplomatic push aims to prevent US split with UN refugee agency
Diplomatic efforts aim to keep the U.S. engaged with the UN refugee agency. Withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31 at 7.5% YES. The post Diplomat...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran sentences two to death amid crackdown on protests
Iran sentences two to death amid protests crackdown. Iranian regime to fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES. The post Iran sentences two to death amid cra...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran warns of strikes on US forces entering its islands amid tensions
Iran warns of strikes on US forces near its islands. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31 at 1.8% YES, by August 31 at 7.0% YES. Th...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran strikes Amazon in Bahrain, silver prices climb nearly 3%
Iran strikes Amazon in Bahrain, boosting silver prices nearly 3%. Silver reaching $66 in July 2026 at 8.2% YES. The post Iran strikes Amazon in Bahrai...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran rejects US, Israeli influence amid escalating conflict
Iran rejects US and Israeli influence amid conflict. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Iran rejects US, Israeli ...
Jul 21open_in_new
BlackRock acquires $116M in Bitcoin, boosts institutional crypto presence
BlackRock acquires $116 million in Bitcoin, signaling growing institutional confidence. Bitcoin reaching $67,500 in July at 60.5% YES. The post BlackR...
Jul 21open_in_new
US strategic oil reserves hit 43-year low amid geopolitical tensions
US strategic oil reserves hit a 43-year low amid geopolitical tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 6.7% YES, by Decembe...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran moves uranium centrifuges to fortified tunnels, Israeli intel reports
Iran moved uranium centrifuges to fortified tunnels, signaling reduced chances of halting enrichment; agreement to end enrichment by December 31 at 20...
Jul 21open_in_new
Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 upgrade introduces permissionless markets, requires 500K HYPE stake
Hyperliquid launched its HIP-4 upgrade for permissionless markets, requiring a 500K HYPE stake. Price at $100 by December 31, 2026, at 29.5% YES. The ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Oil prices dip as US-Iran mediation reports emerge
Oil prices dip as US-Iran mediation reports emerge. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at 6.7% YES. The post Oil prices dip as US-Iran me...
Jul 21open_in_new
Goldman warns Brent oil may exceed $120 if Hormuz disruptions continue
Goldman warns Brent oil may exceed $120 if Hormuz disruptions continue. WTI reaching $120 in July 2026 at 0.9% YES. The post Goldman warns Brent oil m...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iron ore hits 18-month low at $87.20 amid China steel losses, Hormuz closure
Iron ore prices drop to $87.20 amid China steel losses and Hormuz closure. Crude oil reaching new highs by December 31 at 14.5% YES. The post Iron ore...
Jul 21open_in_new
Tanker attacked in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran military escalation
A tanker was attacked in the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions. Traffic normal by August 31 at 14% YES. The post Tanker attacked in Strait of Hor...
Jul 21open_in_new
Grayscale to Pay Quarterly Cash From ETH and SOL Staking Rewards: A Look at The Mechanics
Grayscale plans to amend its Ethereum Staking exchange-traded fund (ETHE) and Solana Staking ETF (GSOL) to convert staking rewards into cash and distr...
Jul 21open_in_new
US military concludes 10th night of airstrikes on Iran amid rising tensions
US military completes 10th night of airstrikes on Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 49% YES. The post US military concludes 10th night of ai...
Jul 21open_in_new
Binance & OKX users face $1900 fines in Vietnam, Coinbase in China? Asia Express
Retail users in Vietnam who trade on offshore crypto exchanges like Binance or OKX face heavy penalties. Network School controversy in Malaysia over I...
Jul 21open_in_new