Hawaii becomes strategic launch site for B-2 bombers with hot-pit refueling
Hawaii becomes a strategic launch site for B-2 bombers with hot-pit refueling. China invasion of Taiwan by December 31, 2027 at 10.5% YES. The post Ha...
Jul 17open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Iran attack damages Kuwait power units amid regional tensions
Iran attacks damage Kuwait's power units amid rising tensions. Iran agrees to end uranium enrichment by December 31 at 20.5% YES. The post Iran attack...
Jul 17open_in_new
US Marines inspect Iran-flagged tanker amid intensified blockade enforcement
US Marines inspect an Iran-flagged tanker amid intensified blockade enforcement. End of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026 at 16.5% YES. The post US Ma...
Jul 17open_in_new
Xi opposes US-led AI restrictions at 2026 World AI Conference in Shanghai
Xi opposes US-led AI restrictions at the 2026 World AI Conference. Xi's US visit before 2027 now at 88.5% YES. The post Xi opposes US-led AI restricti...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran fires missiles at Gulf states as US airstrikes escalate
Iran fires missiles at Gulf states amid US airstrikes. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 23.5% YES. The post Iran fires missiles at Gulf states as US...
Jul 17open_in_new
Supreme Court upholds Fed governor protections, blocks Trump’s dismissal attempt
Supreme Court blocks Trump's attempt to dismiss Fed Governor Cook. Jerome Powell's removal by December 31 at 32% YES. The post Supreme Court upholds F...
Jul 17open_in_new
BP, ConocoPhillips invest in Iraq to counter Iran’s energy influence: CNBC
BP and ConocoPhillips invest in Iraq to reduce Iran's energy influence. U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post BP, ConocoPhil...
Jul 17open_in_new
BP, ConocoPhillips invest $25B in Iraq to counter Iran’s energy influence
BP and ConocoPhillips invest $25B in Iraq to counter Iran's energy influence. U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post BP, Cono...
Jul 17open_in_new
Over 102K crypto traders liquidated amid market volatility
Over 102K crypto traders liquidated amid market volatility. Hyperliquid reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 at 30% YES. The post Over 102K crypto trade...
Jul 17open_in_new
US-Iran conflict escalates with targeted strikes on bridges and vessels
US-Iran conflict escalates with targeted strikes on infrastructure. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US-Iran confli...
Jul 17open_in_new
US conducts airstrikes near Iran’s Qeshm amid 2026 war escalation
US conducts airstrikes near Iran's Qeshm amid war escalation. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post US conduct...
Jul 17open_in_new
US military strike destroys maritime control tower at Iran’s Chabahar port
US military strike destroys maritime control tower at Iran's Chabahar port. Ships transit Hormuz by July 31 at 19.4% YES. The post US military strike ...
Jul 17open_in_new
US forces intercept eight explosive drones targeting Erbil, Iraq
US forces intercepted eight explosive drones targeting Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post US forc...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, fires on vessels amid US-Israel conflict: FT
Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz and fires on vessels amid rising tensions. Traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post Iran closes Strait of H...
Jul 17open_in_new
$386M in long positions liquidated in crypto market over past 24 hours
$386M in long positions liquidated in the crypto market. Hyperliquid reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 priced at 30% YES. The post $386M in long posi...
Jul 17open_in_new
Tanker hit by unknown projectile near Oman, crew safe
A tanker was hit by an unknown projectile near Oman, raising concerns about Houthi involvement; targeting shipping by August 31, 2026 at 49.5% YES. Th...
Jul 17open_in_new
US-Iran tensions escalate with strikes amid Strait of Hormuz conflict
US-Iran tensions escalate with military strikes. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post US-Iran tensions escalat...
Jul 17open_in_new
Coalition conducts military drills near Ukraine amid deployment readiness
Coalition conducts military drills near Ukraine. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 36.5% YES. The post Coalition conducts military drills near Ukraine...
Jul 17open_in_new
Trump accuses China of 2020 election interference, risking trade truce
Trump accuses China of 2020 election interference, risking trade truce. Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027 at 89% YES. The post Trump accuses Chin...
Jul 17open_in_new
China’s oil imports hit lowest since 2016 amid Iran conflict, partial recovery eyed
China's oil imports drop to the lowest since 2016 amid the Iran conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 5.1% YES. The post...
Jul 17open_in_new
England’s World Cup hopes dashed by Argentina in semi-final defeat
England loses to Argentina in the World Cup semi-finals. England to finish 3rd at 36.5% YES. The post England’s World Cup hopes dashed by Argentina in...
Jul 17open_in_new
China, Pakistan urge US-Iran ceasefire, renewed talks amid conflict
China and Pakistan call for US-Iran ceasefire and talks. Next US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.6% YES. The post China, Pakistan urge ...
Jul 17open_in_new
Canadian dollar nears one-month high as oil prices rise, Fed hike bets weigh
Canadian dollar rises near a one-month high as oil prices increase. Gold reaching $4,600 in July at 0.8% YES. The post Canadian dollar nears one-month...
Jul 17open_in_new
T. Rowe Price launches $15M crypto ETF TKNZ, tests outside investor demand
T. Rowe Price launched a $15M crypto ETF TKNZ to test investor demand. Hyperliquid reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 at 30% YES. The post T. Rowe Pri...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran-linked tankers zig-zag in Gulf amid US blockade enforcement
Iran-linked tankers are zig-zagging in the Gulf amid U.S. blockade enforcement. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by August 31 at 11.5% YE...
Jul 17open_in_new
Xi positions China as AI leader, challenges US dominance
Xi Jinping positions China as an AI leader, challenging the U.S. Visit to the U.S. before 2027 at 89.5% YES. The post Xi positions China as AI leader,...
Jul 17open_in_new
Oil prices climb as US-Iran tensions threaten Red Sea oil route
Oil prices rise amid US-Iran tensions threatening supply routes. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 12% YES. The post Oil prices...
Jul 17open_in_new
IEA warns Strait of Hormuz crisis threatens global energy security
IEA warns of energy security risks from the Strait of Hormuz crisis. WTI reaching $110 by July 2026 at 2.5% YES. The post IEA warns Strait of Hormuz c...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran attacks US command center in Syria, escalating tensions
Iran attacks a U.S. command center in Syria, escalating tensions. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 22.5% YES. The post Iran attacks US command cen...
Jul 17open_in_new
US Marines board tanker amid Iranian port blockade, expand strikes on infrastructure
US Marines boarded a tanker amid an Iranian port blockade. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by July 31 at 0.9% YES. The post US Marines board tank...
Jul 17open_in_new