US service member killed in Iranian drone detonation at Erbil Air Base
US service member killed in Iranian drone detonation at Erbil Air Base. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 62% YES. The post U...
Jul 21open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Biotech IPOs lead 2026 US market, overshadowing AI firms like Anthropic
Biotech IPOs dominate the 2026 US market, overshadowing AI firms like Anthropic. Anthropic's IPO by December 31, 2026 at 63.5% YES. The post Biotech I...
Jul 21open_in_new
Gold prices steady above $4,000 ahead of Fed meeting
Gold prices hold steady above $4,000 ahead of the Fed meeting. Gold at $4,500 in July 2026 priced at 2.4% YES. The post Gold prices steady above $4,00...
Jul 21open_in_new
Israel redeploys forces in southern Lebanon amid US-brokered ceasefire
Israel redeploys forces in southern Lebanon amid a US-brokered ceasefire. Ceasefire continues through July 25 at 84% YES. The post Israel redeploys fo...
Jul 21open_in_new
Silver nears $60 on strong industrial demand, supply constraints
Silver prices near $60 on strong industrial demand. Silver reaching $66 by July 2026 at 9.0% YES. The post Silver nears $60 on strong industrial deman...
Jul 21open_in_new
Trump: US ready to strike Iran nuclear sites amid 2026 conflict escalation
Trump declares US readiness to strike Iran's nuclear sites amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal funding in 2026 at 29.5% YES. The post Trump: US rea...
Jul 21open_in_new
Trump vows to target Iran nuclear sites amid 2026 conflict escalation
Trump vows to target Iran nuclear sites amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29.5% YES. The post Trump vows t...
Jul 21open_in_new
Trump: Blockade on Iranian ports to persist amid ongoing tensions
Trump confirms the blockade on Iranian ports will continue. End of blockade by August 31, 2026 at 45.5% YES. The post Trump: Blockade on Iranian ports...
Jul 21open_in_new
Trump dismisses Iran meeting amid Operation Epic Fury escalation
Trump dismisses Iran meeting amid escalating military actions. Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES. The post Trum...
Jul 21open_in_new
Nvidia launches Spectrum-6 switch for AI factories with Tesla, Microsoft
NVIDIA launches Spectrum-6 switch for AI factories with major tech partners. Tesla largest company by market cap on July 31 at 0.1% YES. The post Nvid...
Jul 21open_in_new
US oil prices expected to exceed $90 per barrel by month’s end
US oil prices are expected to exceed $90 per barrel by month's end. New all-time high by September 30 at 8.1% YES. The post US oil prices expected to ...
Jul 21open_in_new
South Carolina Senate race heats up as Trump endorsement faces challenges
A competitive Senate race in South Carolina sees Trump-endorsed Darline Graham Nordone struggling in polls. Ralph Norman's nomination odds at 8% YES. ...
Jul 21open_in_new
US grants Iraq permission to mediate talks with Iran amid 2026 tensions
US allows Iraq to mediate talks with Iran amid rising tensions. Diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES; by August 31, 2026 at 44.5% YES. The...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran claims strike on US radar at Kuwait base amid rising tensions
Iran claims a strike on a U.S. radar in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 61.5% YES. The post Iran claims strike on US radar ...
Jul 21open_in_new
US 10-year, 30-year yields hit two-month highs amid Fed policy speculation
US 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields hit two-month highs, with a Fed pause in the next three decisions at 55.5% YES. The post US 10-year, 30-year yi...
Jul 21open_in_new
Missile and drone strikes hit Kuwait amid Iran-US tensions
Missile and drone strikes hit Kuwait amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 61.5% YES. The post Missile and ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Trump agrees to ethics provision, clearing path for CLARITY Act Senate vote
Trump agrees to ethics provision, clearing the way for the CLARITY Act vote. Act signed into law in 2026 at 43% YES. The post Trump agrees to ethics p...
Jul 21open_in_new
Russia approves crypto bill for foreign trade, domestic ban remains
Russia approves a crypto bill for foreign trade while banning domestic use. Bitcoin reaching $160K by December 31, 2026 is at 2.8% YES. The post Russi...
Jul 21open_in_new
US conducts 10th consecutive night of strikes against Iran in Hormuz conflict
US conducts 10th night of strikes against Iran. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 62.5% YES. The post US conducts 10th consecuti...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran conflict disrupts oil market, fuels price surge in Philippines
Iran conflict disrupts oil market, causing price hikes in the Philippines. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 6.8% YES. The pos...
Jul 21open_in_new
Houthi blockade announced, Bab el-Mandeb Strait remains open
Houthi militia announced a blockade while the Bab el-Mandeb Strait remains open. Successful Houthi targeting of shipping by July 31 at 47.5% YES. The ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Kuwait responds to Iranian drone and missile attacks amid Gulf tensions
Kuwait responds to Iranian drone and missile attacks. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 61.5% YES. The post Kuwait responds t...
Jul 21open_in_new
Indian refiners halt Iraqi oil loadings amid Hormuz security risks
Indian refiners halt Iraqi oil loadings due to Hormuz security risks. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 2.5% YES. The post Indian refiners halt Iraqi ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Goldman Sachs warns oil could hit $120 if Strait of Hormuz stays closed
Goldman Sachs warns oil could hit $120 if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. WTI reaching $120 in July 2026 at 0.9% YES. The post Goldman Sachs warns ...
Jul 21open_in_new
Ukraine protests erupt over army chief’s future amid leadership crisis
Protests erupt in Ukraine over army chief's future amid leadership crisis. Syrskyi out by July 31, 2026 at 63.6% YES; by December 31, 2026 at 90.1% YE...
Jul 21open_in_new
China’s gold buying spree hints at potential price rebound amid US policy shifts
China's gold purchases signal potential price recovery. Gold reaching $4,500 by July 2026 at 2.5% YES. The post China’s gold buying spree hints at pot...
Jul 21open_in_new
Chinese oil tanker reverses course in Red Sea after Houthi threat
A Chinese oil tanker reversed course in the Red Sea after Houthi threats. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 21.5% YES. The po...
Jul 21open_in_new
Senate nears vote on Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before August recess
Senate nears vote on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 41.5% YES. The post Senate nears vote on Digital Ass...
Jul 21open_in_new
Digital Asset Market Clarity Act nears Senate floor vote, says Treasury Secretary
Treasury Secretary indicates the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is close to a Senate vote. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 41.5% YES. The pos...
Jul 21open_in_new
Iran targets Amazon data center in Bahrain amid US-Iran tensions
Iran targeted an Amazon data center in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES. The post Iran targets...
Jul 21open_in_new