US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian military sites
US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian sites. Iran full airspace closure by August 31 at 58.5% YES. The post US military conducts 13th ...
Jul 23open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces tight timeline before August recess
Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text ahead of August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 32% YES. The post Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces ti...
Jul 23open_in_new
Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess, says Thune
Thune says Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 33.5% YES. The post Clarity Act approval unlikel...
Jul 23open_in_new
UK, Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid Iran-Israel tensions
UK and Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid tensions. Military action by European countries on Iran by July at 3.5% YES. The post UK, Germa...
Jul 23open_in_new
Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influencer era with $30K bill
Indonesia's new crypto rules end influencer promotions. Bitcoin reaching $72K by July 26 at 0.5% YES. The post Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influe...
Jul 23open_in_new
Mark Sanford enters South Carolina Senate race, shaking up GOP primary
Mark Sanford enters the South Carolina Senate race, impacting Ralph Norman's chances. Norman's nomination at 20.5% YES. The post Mark Sanford enters S...
Jul 23open_in_new
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per Polymarket
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES. The post Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per...
Jul 23open_in_new
Asian stocks set to fall as oil prices surge past $100
Asian stocks expected to decline as oil prices surge past $100. Crude oil reaches new all-time high by December 31 at 20% YES. The post Asian stocks s...
Jul 23open_in_new
Ukraine defense minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid
Ukraine's Defense Minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 15% YES. Th...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran flew commanders, missile gear to Houthi rebels in Yemen: report
Iran sent military gear and commanders to Houthi rebels in Yemen. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 44.5% YES. The post Iran flew com...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran intercepts US Tomahawk missile over Kahnuj, escalating tensions
Iran intercepted a US Tomahawk missile, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 60.5% YES. The post Iran intercepts US Tomahawk mis...
Jul 23open_in_new
Somali pirates seize Tanzanian-flagged ship off Yemen coast
Somali pirates seized a Tanzanian-flagged ship off Yemen. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 22.5% YES. The post Somali pirate...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran expands conflict with new attacks on US allies in Middle East
Iran escalates conflict with attacks on U.S. allies. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Iran expands conflict wit...
Jul 23open_in_new
OPEC+ plans output increase despite production shortfalls, market cautious
OPEC+ plans to increase oil output despite production shortfalls. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 13% YES. The post OPEC+ pl...
Jul 23open_in_new
Cruz: Trump to avoid long-term US troop deployment in Iran amid ongoing conflict
Cruz says Trump will avoid long-term troop deployment in Iran. Ceasefire by August 31 at 65.5% YES. The post Cruz: Trump to avoid long-term US troop d...
Jul 23open_in_new
OpenAI adds full duplex voice control to Codex and ChatGPT desktop apps
OpenAI adds full duplex voice control to Codex and ChatGPT apps. OpenAI having the best AI model by December 2026 at 9% YES. The post OpenAI adds full...
Jul 23open_in_new
IMO condemns Red Sea shipping attacks, warns of supply chain risks
IMO condemns Red Sea shipping attacks, raising supply chain concerns. Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by September 30 at 23% YES. The post IMO condemns R...
Jul 23open_in_new
US House passes $1.1T defense bill with US-Israel tech cooperation provision
US House passes $1.1T defense bill with US-Israel tech cooperation. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 14.5% YES. The post US H...
Jul 23open_in_new
Alphabet’s $6B cash burn sparks Big Tech concern amid AI investment surge
Alphabet reports a $5.9B cash burn, raising concerns about its market position. Alphabet as the second-largest company by July 31 at 2% YES. The post ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran rapidly rebuilds infrastructure after US, Israeli strikes: WSJ
Iran rapidly rebuilds infrastructure after US and Israeli strikes. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES. The post Iran rapidly rebuilds infra...
Jul 23open_in_new
US president Trump approves 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia, sparking proliferation concerns
Trump approves a 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia, raising proliferation concerns. U.S.-Iran final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.9% YES. ...
Jul 23open_in_new
US House votes to halt Iran war, symbolic rebuke of Trump policies
US House votes to halt military actions against Iran. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post US House votes to halt I...
Jul 23open_in_new
Trump signals potential escalation in US military actions against Iran
Trump signals potential escalation in military actions against Iran. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 30.5% YES. The post Trump signals potential ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran’s missile accuracy raises fears of foreign aid targeting US troops, CIA sites
Iran's missile accuracy raises concerns over targeting U.S. troops. Military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 44.5% YES. The post Iran’s miss...
Jul 23open_in_new
Clarity Act faces delay, unlikely to pass before Congress summer break
Clarity Act faces delays and is unlikely to pass before summer break. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 36.5% YES. The post Clarity Act faces del...
Jul 23open_in_new
Strike on Saudi tanker in Red Sea sends oil above $100 a barrel
Strike on Saudi tanker raises oil prices above $100. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 19.5% YES. The post Strike on Saudi tank...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran sanctions backfire as oil prices hit triple digits, says Ghalibaf
Iran's Ghalibaf claims sanctions led to soaring oil prices. Crude oil reaches a new all-time high by December 31 at 19.5% YES. The post Iran sanctions...
Jul 23open_in_new
Oil prices surge amid US-Iran tensions; tech stocks decline
Oil prices surged due to US-Iran tensions while tech stocks fell. Crude oil at a new all-time high by December 31 at 19.5% YES. The post Oil prices su...
Jul 23open_in_new
Kuwait intercepts Iranian drones amid regional conflict escalation
Kuwait intercepted Iranian drones amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 44.5% YES. The post Kuwait intercep...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran FM criticizes US focus on 2028 election amid stalled negotiations
Iran's FM criticizes US focus on the 2028 election amid stalled talks. Iran reconstruction funding in a 2026 deal at 28.5% YES. The post Iran FM criti...
Jul 23open_in_new