Bitcoin Faces Fed Message Test as Kalshi Hike Odds Reach 79%
Federal Reserve hike odds sit at 79% on Polymarket, but the Fed’s September message may matter more than the 25-basis-point move. The post Bitcoin Fac...
Sep 14open_in_new
POLYMARKET (POLYMARKET) — News
347 articles · updated every 3 minutes
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Nvidia Eyes $10B of Anthropic’s IPO While Polymarket Bets on a $2T Pop
Polymarket traders give Anthropic a 66% chance of closing its first trading day above a $2 trillion market cap, even though a second contract says its...
Sep 14open_in_new
Clarity Act passage odds rise to 30% on Polymarket after Senate revisions
The Clarity Act's potential passage could significantly alter US crypto regulation, shifting oversight dynamics and impacting future legislative agend...
Sep 14open_in_new
CLARITY Act Odds Slashed to 60-Vote Senate Test Comes Into View
The CLARITY Act faces a 60-vote Senate hurdle on September 15, while Polymarket gives enactment just 13% odds in 2026 after 82% in February. The post ...
Sep 13open_in_new
Ripple Board Member Who Ran Amazon Finance Is Polymarket’s New CFO
Polymarket has hired former Amazon CFO and Ripple board member Warren Jenson to oversee its finances as the prediction market expands. His responsibil...
Sep 13open_in_new
Polymarket Gives Bitcoin Price a 64% Chance of Reaching $80K This Month
Traders on Polymarket put a September dip to $75,000 at 68.5% and a touch of $80,000 at 64%, pricing the downside as the likelier of the two with 18 d...
Sep 12open_in_new
CFTC probes Polymarket trades tied to Biden pardons, Iran and Google: Report
CFTC's investigations into Polymarket highlight the growing scrutiny and regulatory challenges facing prediction markets and insider trading. The post...
Sep 12open_in_new
Polymarket predicts 83% chance of Fed rate hike on September 16
A likely Fed rate hike could tighten liquidity, impacting risk assets and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding investments. The pos...
Sep 12open_in_new
Quarter-Point Hike Leads Polymarket’s September Fed Pricing at 62%
Polymarket Fed rates pricing shows a 62% chance of a quarter-point hike on September 16, with no change at 39% and other outcomes below 1%. The post Q...
Sep 11open_in_new
EU Regulator Says Prediction Markets Are 'Rife With Inside Trading'
ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.
Sep 11open_in_new
Flávio Bolsonaro overtakes Lula on Polymarket ahead of Brazil election
Flvio Bolsonaro's lead on Polymarket suggests shifting political dynamics in Brazil, potentially impacting future policy directions and alliances. The...
Sep 10open_in_new
The CLARITY Act Has 100 New Changes and a 60-Vote Problem
According to reports, Senate Republicans circulated a new Digital Asset Market Clarity Act draft on Thursday following the August Congressional recess...
Sep 10open_in_new
Europe’s top regulator questions Polymarket, Kalshi’s EU access
ESMA classifies prediction market contracts as derivatives, triggering the EU's binary options ban and threatening Polymarket and Kalshi's The post Eu...
Sep 10open_in_new
Polymarket appoints former Amazon finance chief Warren Jenson as CFO
Polymarket's strategic CFO hire signals its ambition to scale significantly, aiming to bridge traditional finance with crypto innovation. The post Pol...
Sep 10open_in_new
Polymarket appoints ex-Amazon CFO Warren Jenson as CFO
Polymarket's strategic CFO hire signals its ambition to scale significantly, aiming to bridge traditional finance with crypto innovation. The post Pol...
Sep 10open_in_new
Polymarket names Ripple board member Warren Jenson as CFO
Polymarket's strategic CFO hire signals its ambition to scale significantly, aiming to bridge traditional finance with crypto innovation. The post Pol...
Sep 10open_in_new
First Solana Came For Meme Coins: Now Solana is Coming For Polymarket and Kalshi
Solana trades near $101 amid World's prediction market expansion and the upcoming Alpenglow upgrade. Full price analysis and key levels inside. The po...
Sep 10open_in_new
Tema launches prediction markets ETF with 15% in private companies Kalshi and Polymarket
The ETF's launch democratizes access to prediction markets, potentially reshaping retail investment strategies and market dynamics. The post Tema laun...
Sep 9open_in_new
Prediction Markets Abandon Cheap Oil as Brent Passes $100
Myriad's $120 side overtook $55 at the start of September, while Polymarket puts WTI reaching $100 this month at 59%.
Sep 9open_in_new
Ben Gurion Stays Open as Israel Airspace Risk Rises
Israel airspace faces heightened risk, but Polymarket signals do not confirm a closure as EASA caution remains in force through September 30. The post...
Sep 9open_in_new
Polkadot Leads A Rotation Into Old Layer-1s As Hike Odds Widen
Polkadot rose 16.7% on the day and 42.5% on the week, with Cosmos Hub, Decred and Ethereum Classic all up more than 8%, while bitcoin ended the first ...
Sep 8open_in_new
Polymarket traders put 80% odds on OpenAI hitting $1.5T valuation at IPO
OpenAI's potential $1.5T IPO valuation highlights the rapid AI sector growth but raises concerns over sustainability and profitability challenges. The...
Sep 8open_in_new
Polymarket Trading Slumps 35% as Post-World Cup Lull Hits Prediction Markets
Polymarket's core platform took the biggest hit, with monthly volume plunging from $7.89 billion to $4.59 billion.
Sep 8open_in_new
$2M wagered on Polymarket over whether Perplexity AI gets acquired before 2027
The significant wager on Perplexity AI's acquisition highlights the growing interest and speculation in AI market dynamics and potential M&A activity....
Sep 8open_in_new
UK Regulator Revisits the 2019 Ban Blocking Prediction Markets
Britain’s Financial Conduct Authority has held talks with trading platforms about easing the retail binary options ban that keeps Kalshi and Polymarke...
Sep 8open_in_new
Year-End Bitcoin Price Predictions Grow Cautious as Bettors Eye $81K
While bitcoin’s price has risen a great deal over the last month, and Wall Street, die-hard crypto proponents, and even AI chatbots are bullish, predi...
Sep 8open_in_new
Polymarket Ukraine Odds for Russia Ceasefire Slashed to 13%
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire odds on Polymarket sit at 12.5% for year-end, but a 10-day rule raises the bar for settlement under this contract. The post P...
Sep 7open_in_new
Polymarket signs LeBron James as first athlete partner
LeBron's partnership with Polymarket highlights the growing intersection of sports and blockchain, potentially reshaping athlete endorsements. The pos...
Sep 5open_in_new
Lebron James Teases Polymarket Deal as Prediction Market Hype Explodes
On Saturday, NBA superstar LeBron James published a video on X and Instagram hinting at an upcoming partnership with the leading prediction marketplac...
Sep 5open_in_new
Polymarket Launches Crypto Perpetual Futures With Up to 20x Leverage
The prediction market platform's new Perps product scaled from 10 markets to 67 on its first day—though the 20x leverage ceiling only applies to some ...
Sep 4open_in_new