US reverses support for Saudi nuclear deal amid shifting Middle East policy
US reverses support for Saudi nuclear deal. Iranian reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% YES. The post US reverses support for Saud...
Jul 24open_in_new
AT (AT) — News
4,418 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Trump ties Saudi nuclear deal to Israel normalization
Trump ties Saudi nuclear deal to Israel normalization. U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES. The post Trump ties Saudi nuclear de...
Jul 24open_in_new
Explosions and air defense activity reported across 14 Iranian cities amid ongoing war
Iran experiences explosions and air defense activity in 14 cities. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES. The post Explosions and air defense ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump frustrated as US-Iran conflict enters fifth month with no resolution
Trump expresses frustration as US-Iran conflict continues. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Trump frustrat...
Jul 24open_in_new
Bond investors demand higher yields on BlackRock AI-linked financing deal
Bond investors demand higher yields on BlackRock's AI financing deal. Fed pause in next three decisions at 32.5% YES. The post Bond investors demand h...
Jul 24open_in_new
Eight Muslim countries denounce Israeli raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque
Eight Muslim countries condemned the Israeli raid on Al-Aqsa Mosque. Ceasefire between Israel and Iran through July 25 at 74.5% YES. The post Eight Mu...
Jul 24open_in_new
Guterres calls for end to Gaza suffering amid US-Iran military strikes
Guterres calls for an end to Gaza suffering amid US-Iran strikes. Ceasefire through July 25 at 74.5% YES. The post Guterres calls for end to Gaza suff...
Jul 24open_in_new
Oil prices surge, bond yields rise amid Middle East tensions
Oil prices surge amid Middle East tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 12.1% YES. The post Oil prices surge, bond yield...
Jul 24open_in_new
Brent crude hits $100 as Trump reinstates tariffs amid trade tensions
Brent crude hits $100 as Trump reinstates tariffs. New all-time high by December priced at 20.5% YES. The post Brent crude hits $100 as Trump reinstat...
Jul 24open_in_new
Oil price surge threatens US economy, GOP midterm prospects: WSJ
Oil prices surge amid geopolitical tensions, raising concerns for the U.S. economy. New all-time high by September 30 at 12.1% YES, by December 31 at ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Ukrainian drones target Wildberries logistics center in Crimea
Ukrainian drones targeted a logistics center in Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 is now at 9.5% YES. The post Ukrainian drones target W...
Jul 24open_in_new
Ripple invests in Notabene to integrate RLUSD into enterprise network
Ripple invests in Notabene to integrate RLUSD into its network. XRP reaching $1.60 by July 2026 at 0.6% YES. The post Ripple invests in Notabene to in...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran bolstered by oil price surge, resists US negotiation efforts
Iran resists US negotiation efforts amid rising oil prices. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 20.5% YES. The post Iran bolstere...
Jul 24open_in_new
Amazon server facilities in Bahrain destroyed by bunker-penetrating warhead
Amazon server facilities in Bahrain destroyed by a bunker-penetrating warhead. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45% YES. The...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran activates air defense in Tehran amid regional tensions
Iran activates air defense in Tehran amid regional tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 60.5% YES. The post Iran activates air defense in T...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump considers “massive attack” on Iran amidst military escalation
Trump considers a 'massive attack' on Iran amid military tensions. Iran reconstruction funding in a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Trum...
Jul 24open_in_new
Kuwaiti air defenses activated as Iran targets US airbase
Kuwait activated air defenses as Iran targeted a US airbase. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES. The post Kuwaiti air defenses...
Jul 24open_in_new
Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping push oil prices above $100 per barrel
Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping push oil prices above $100 per barrel. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 20.5% YES. The post...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump administration threatens significant attack on Iran amid nuclear tensions
Trump administration threatens a significant attack on Iran. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Trump admini...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran rejects US cease-fire deal presented by Iraqi leader
Iran rejects the US cease-fire deal. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Iran rejects US cease-fire deal presented...
Jul 23open_in_new
US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian military sites
US military conducts 13th night of strikes on Iranian sites. Iran full airspace closure by August 31 at 58.5% YES. The post US military conducts 13th ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces tight timeline before August recess
Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text ahead of August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 32% YES. The post Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces ti...
Jul 23open_in_new
Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess, says Thune
Thune says Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 33.5% YES. The post Clarity Act approval unlikel...
Jul 23open_in_new
UK, Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid Iran-Israel tensions
UK and Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid tensions. Military action by European countries on Iran by July at 3.5% YES. The post UK, Germa...
Jul 23open_in_new
Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influencer era with $30K bill
Indonesia's new crypto rules end influencer promotions. Bitcoin reaching $72K by July 26 at 0.5% YES. The post Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influe...
Jul 23open_in_new
Mark Sanford enters South Carolina Senate race, shaking up GOP primary
Mark Sanford enters the South Carolina Senate race, impacting Ralph Norman's chances. Norman's nomination at 20.5% YES. The post Mark Sanford enters S...
Jul 23open_in_new
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per Polymarket
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES. The post Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per...
Jul 23open_in_new
Asian stocks set to fall as oil prices surge past $100
Asian stocks expected to decline as oil prices surge past $100. Crude oil reaches new all-time high by December 31 at 20% YES. The post Asian stocks s...
Jul 23open_in_new
Ukraine defense minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid
Ukraine's Defense Minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 15% YES. Th...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran flew commanders, missile gear to Houthi rebels in Yemen: report
Iran sent military gear and commanders to Houthi rebels in Yemen. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 44.5% YES. The post Iran flew com...
Jul 23open_in_new