Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces tight timeline before August recess
Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text ahead of August recess. Act signed into law by 2026 at 32% YES. The post Senate finalizes CLARITY Act text, faces ti...
Jul 23open_in_new
龙虾 (龙虾) — News
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São Paulo Sues World and Amazon AWS for $47 Million Over Abusive Biometric Data Collection
The Consumer Prosecutor’s Office of Sao Paolo stressed that World focused on attracting people in situations of economic vulnerability and maintained ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess, says Thune
Thune says Clarity Act approval unlikely before August recess. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 33.5% YES. The post Clarity Act approval unlikel...
Jul 23open_in_new
UK, Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid Iran-Israel tensions
UK and Germany withdraw embassy staff from Tehran amid tensions. Military action by European countries on Iran by July at 3.5% YES. The post UK, Germa...
Jul 23open_in_new
Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influencer era with $30K bill
Indonesia's new crypto rules end influencer promotions. Bitcoin reaching $72K by July 26 at 0.5% YES. The post Indonesia’s new crypto rules end influe...
Jul 23open_in_new
Mark Sanford enters South Carolina Senate race, shaking up GOP primary
Mark Sanford enters the South Carolina Senate race, impacting Ralph Norman's chances. Norman's nomination at 20.5% YES. The post Mark Sanford enters S...
Jul 23open_in_new
Abu Dhabi’s $430B Asset Giant Makes Blockchain Leap, Coinbase Buys In
Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Capital has moved one of its private market strategies onto public blockchains, and Coinbase is putting its own money behind it. ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per Polymarket
Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES. The post Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, 36% chance per...
Jul 23open_in_new
Asian stocks set to fall as oil prices surge past $100
Asian stocks expected to decline as oil prices surge past $100. Crude oil reaches new all-time high by December 31 at 20% YES. The post Asian stocks s...
Jul 23open_in_new
Ukraine defense minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid
Ukraine's Defense Minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 15% YES. Th...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran flew commanders, missile gear to Houthi rebels in Yemen: report
Iran sent military gear and commanders to Houthi rebels in Yemen. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 44.5% YES. The post Iran flew com...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran intercepts US Tomahawk missile over Kahnuj, escalating tensions
Iran intercepted a US Tomahawk missile, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 60.5% YES. The post Iran intercepts US Tomahawk mis...
Jul 23open_in_new
Somali pirates seize Tanzanian-flagged ship off Yemen coast
Somali pirates seized a Tanzanian-flagged ship off Yemen. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 22.5% YES. The post Somali pirate...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran expands conflict with new attacks on US allies in Middle East
Iran escalates conflict with attacks on U.S. allies. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Iran expands conflict wit...
Jul 23open_in_new
Black Forest Labs Unveils FLUX 3 AI: Ditches Stills for Video—And Robot Hands
FLUX 3 is the German AI lab’s first video model, and the same system is already teaching robots to work an Audi assembly line.
Jul 23open_in_new
OPEC+ plans output increase despite production shortfalls, market cautious
OPEC+ plans to increase oil output despite production shortfalls. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 13% YES. The post OPEC+ pl...
Jul 23open_in_new
Has Bitcoin Already Bottomed? Grayscale Says Macro Signals Matter More
Bitcoin may have already reached its low as analysts increasingly question whether the four-year cycle still applies today.
Jul 23open_in_new
Cruz: Trump to avoid long-term US troop deployment in Iran amid ongoing conflict
Cruz says Trump will avoid long-term troop deployment in Iran. Ceasefire by August 31 at 65.5% YES. The post Cruz: Trump to avoid long-term US troop d...
Jul 23open_in_new
Gemini sent $10M in Bitcoin to Trump PAC after joint motion with CFTC
The Bitcoin donation can be used to support Donald Trump as a New York court considers whether to reverse a $5 million settlement between the CFTC and...
Jul 23open_in_new
Gemini co-founders sent $10M in Bitcoin to Trump PAC after joint motion with CFTC
The Bitcoin donation can be used to support Donald Trump as a New York court considers whether to reverse a $5 million settlement between the CFTC and...
Jul 23open_in_new
SEC’s Peirce Warns Crypto Vaults May Fall Under Securities Laws
SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce said crypto vaults and onchain lending products may trigger U.S. securities rules, depending on how they are structured...
Jul 23open_in_new
Japan’s Crypto Law Changes Put Bitcoin ETF Hopes On A Longer Track
Japan’s Crypto Law Changes Put Bitcoin ETF Hopes On A Longer Track - Read the full analysis.
Jul 23open_in_new
OpenAI adds full duplex voice control to Codex and ChatGPT desktop apps
OpenAI adds full duplex voice control to Codex and ChatGPT apps. OpenAI having the best AI model by December 2026 at 9% YES. The post OpenAI adds full...
Jul 23open_in_new
IMO condemns Red Sea shipping attacks, warns of supply chain risks
IMO condemns Red Sea shipping attacks, raising supply chain concerns. Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by September 30 at 23% YES. The post IMO condemns R...
Jul 23open_in_new
US House passes $1.1T defense bill with US-Israel tech cooperation provision
US House passes $1.1T defense bill with US-Israel tech cooperation. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 14.5% YES. The post US H...
Jul 23open_in_new
Coinbase lets businesses accept USDC payments from AI agents
The exchange also introduced AI trading tools and a developer kit as part of a broader push to build financial infrastructure for autonomous AI agents...
Jul 23open_in_new
Bitcoin Shows New Resilience as Stocks Retreat and Volatility Stays Subdued
Crypto outperformed US equities this week as softer inflation data and progress on the CLARITY Act improved sentiment. Yet low volatility, rising leve...
Jul 23open_in_new
Senate leader casts doubt on Clarity Act passage before August recess: CoinDesk
The Clarity Act may enter Senate floor consideration before the August recess, but its chances of passing in 2026 are fading as lawmakers remain divid...
Jul 23open_in_new
Alphabet’s $6B cash burn sparks Big Tech concern amid AI investment surge
Alphabet reports a $5.9B cash burn, raising concerns about its market position. Alphabet as the second-largest company by July 31 at 2% YES. The post ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran rapidly rebuilds infrastructure after US, Israeli strikes: WSJ
Iran rapidly rebuilds infrastructure after US and Israeli strikes. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES. The post Iran rapidly rebuilds infra...
Jul 23open_in_new