
US-Iran tensions rise amid 31% invasion probability by 2027: Polymarket
US-Iran tensions rise with a 31% chance of US invasion by 2027. Invasion by 2027 priced at 31% YES. The post US-Iran tensions rise amid 31% invasion p...
Log in to your account.
Start your free account.
38,865 articles · updated every 3 minutes

US-Iran tensions rise with a 31% chance of US invasion by 2027. Invasion by 2027 priced at 31% YES. The post US-Iran tensions rise amid 31% invasion p...

Foxconn secures a $52 billion SpaceX contract to supply 13,000 Nvidia GB300 AI server racks, challenging Dell and Super Micro's dominance in AI The po...

Kuwait intercepted Iranian drones amid rising Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES. The post Kuwait inter...

Hyperliquid announced permissionless deployment for HIP-4 markets in an upcoming upgrade. Hyperliquid reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 at 29% YES. T...

Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirms Xi Jinping's US trip remains planned despite election interference claims, with potential ripple effects for c...

US deploys F-16s and F-35s to the Middle East amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES. The post US deplo...

Morgan Stanley leads Wall Street in AI debt deals as global issuance targets $570 billion in 2026, raising both opportunities and systemic risk concer...

KKR and AEW Capital Management are marketing commercial real estate in China at steep losses as the country's property sector continues to deteriorate...

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz after US airstrikes. WTI Crude Oil reaching $90 by July 2026 at 46% YES. The post Iran closes Strait of Hormuz after ...

Taiwan's TAIEX suffered its largest single-day point drop ever as retail investors dumped leveraged positions, slashing margin debt by $896 million in...

Iran's IRGC claims strikes on US radar and drone facilities in Kuwait, sending Bitcoin toward $99.5K as geopolitical risk rattles crypto markets. The ...

Iran strikes Kuwaiti air base with a missile, marking its third attack in 2026. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES. The post I...

China deploys over $7.38 billion in state fund purchases after the STAR Market drops 25%, with CSRC organizing emergency stability talks for July 20. ...

Aurora mainnet has been offline since 02:16 UTC with no official explanation. The NEAR-based Ethereum layer's TVL has dropped 99% from its $2.5B peak....

Brent crude surged past $90 as the US-Iran conflict entered its tenth day, pressuring Bitcoin and crypto markets amid rising inflation fears. The post...

Dibu Martnez recorded 11 saves in the 2026 World Cup final against Spain, setting a new record as crypto prediction markets saw peak activity. The pos...

Trump claims prices for oil and gas are dropping despite mixed data. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 6.8% YES. The post Trum...

Soybean and corn futures rise due to US-Iran tensions and higher energy costs. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 16.5% YES. The...

Spain's 1-0 World Cup final win over Argentina impacts crypto fan token markets as the $3.8B sector eyes projected growth to $18.6B by 2034. The post ...

Allbridge lost roughly $1.65 million in a cross-chain exploit, with the attacker bridging stolen funds from Solana to Ethereum and swapping into ETH. ...

Deloitte's UK CFO Survey shows 73% of finance chiefs are bullish on AI, up from 39% in 2024, with 96% planning higher digital spending over five years...

Iran shoots down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone in Kermanshah. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 33.5% YES, by August 31 at 50.5% YES. The post Iran shoots ...

IRGC claims missile strikes on US al-Azraq Air Base in Jordan. Here's what the escalation means for crypto markets and geopolitical risk pricing. The ...

Iran strikes US aircraft in Jordan with ballistic missiles. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES. The post Iran strikes US aircraft at Jord...

Iran's IRGC claims two oil tankers hit mines in the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM denies it. Here's what the escalation means for energy markets and crypt...

Iran targets two oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normal by August 31 at 13.5% YES. The post Iran targets two oil tankers in Strait of Hor...

The People's Bank of China injected 398.5 billion yuan via 7-day reverse repos at a 1.40% rate, signaling sustained liquidity support for markets. The...

Samsung SDS launched Korea's first NPU-as-a-Service on July 16, 2026, using FuriosaAI's RNGD chip, targeting government AI workloads. The post Samsung...

Iran warns the Strait of Hormuz is unsafe for shipments due to U.S. military presence. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 13.5% YES. The post Iran ...

Unverified claim of SpaceX ordering $52B in NVIDIA servers raises market interest. NVIDIA's valuation boost at 50% YES. The post SpaceX $52B Nvidia se...