US deploys EA-37B electronic warfare jets to Crete amid Iran tensions
US deploys EA-37B jets to Crete amid Iran tensions. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45.5% YES. The post US deploys EA-37B e...
Jul 24open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Houthi attacks slow but don’t halt Red Sea oil shipments
Houthi attacks on Red Sea oil shipments have slowed but not stopped. Closure of Bab el-Mandeb Strait by September 30 at 20% YES. The post Houthi attac...
Jul 24open_in_new
Nic Carter warns US may use quantum tech to compromise Bitcoin security
Nic Carter warns of potential quantum threats to Bitcoin security. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 at 2.2% YES. The post Nic Carter war...
Jul 24open_in_new
LeBron James signs two-year, $8M deal with Philadelphia 76ers
LeBron James signed a two-year, $8M deal with the Philadelphia 76ers. Playing for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27 at 0.1% YES. The post LeBron James sign...
Jul 24open_in_new
Crypto Clarity Act stalls in Senate over Trump ethics concerns
Crypto Clarity Act stalls in Senate over Trump ethics concerns. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 32% YES. The post Crypto Clarity Act stalls in ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Ukraine drones strike Moscow, Russia bombs Kyiv defense exhibition
Ukraine drones strike Moscow while Russia bombs Kyiv. Crimea recapture by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES. The post Ukraine drones strike Moscow, Russia...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran vows defiance against US threats amid rising tensions
Iran vows to resist U.S. threats. Reconstruction funding in a U.S.-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% YES. The post Iran vows defiance against US threats amid r...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump backs ethics provision in CLARITY Act, boosting Senate prospects
Trump backs ethics provision in the CLARITY Act, boosting Senate prospects. CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026 at 31.5% YES. The post Trump backs eth...
Jul 24open_in_new
Crude oil prices fall as WTI drops to $89.77, Brent to $91.93
Crude oil prices fell, with WTI at $89.77 and Brent at $91.93. New all-time high by September 30 at 9% YES. The post Crude oil prices fall as WTI drop...
Jul 24open_in_new
Pakistan, Iran explore new US talks in China-led diplomatic push
Pakistan and Iran are exploring new US talks amid a China-led push. US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES. The post Pakistan, Iran ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Police back Clarity Act, easing crypto crime investigation concerns
Police support the Clarity Act, easing concerns over crypto crime investigations. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 37.5% YES. The post Police ba...
Jul 24open_in_new
Houthis impose blockade on Saudi-linked shipping in Red Sea
Houthis impose blockade on Saudi-linked shipping in the Red Sea. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 20.5% YES. The post Houthi...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump backs stronger rules in Clarity Act, boosting passage prospects
Trump supports stronger rules in the Clarity Act, boosting its passage prospects. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 37.5% YES. The post Trump bac...
Jul 24open_in_new
Residents return to Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh after Israeli troop withdrawal
Residents return to Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh after Israeli troop withdrawal. Withdrawal beyond the Litani River by December 31 at 35% YES. The post Residen...
Jul 24open_in_new
Physical oil prices near $110 as Iran, Ukraine conflicts hit supply
Physical oil prices near $110 as conflicts disrupt supply. New all-time high by December 31 at 19% YES. The post Physical oil prices near $110 as Iran...
Jul 24open_in_new
Kuwait air defenses counter hostile drone threats amid Iran-Gulf tensions
Kuwait's air defenses respond to drone threats amid Iran-Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45% YES. The post K...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran blames US approach for stalled talks amid 2026 conflict tensions
Iran blames the US for stalled talks amid conflict tensions. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.3% YES. The post Iran blames US approach for s...
Jul 24open_in_new
Ukraine drone strikes hit Wildberries warehouses, disrupt Russian military supply
Ukrainian drone strikes hit Wildberries warehouses, disrupting Russian military supply. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES. Th...
Jul 24open_in_new
Netanyahu to visit Washington for talks with Trump, attend Graham’s funeral
Netanyahu is set to visit Washington for talks with Trump and attend Graham's funeral. Meeting by July 31, 2026 priced at 90.5% YES. The post Netanyah...
Jul 24open_in_new
Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House Tuesday for talks on Iran, security
Netanyahu to meet Trump at the White House on Tuesday. Meeting by July 31, 2026 at 91.5% YES. The post Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House Tuesday ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Galaxy Research cuts Clarity Act 2026 odds amid Senate delays
Galaxy Research lowers odds for the Clarity Act to become law in 2026 from 50% to 30%. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 30% YES. The post Galaxy...
Jul 24open_in_new
10-year Treasury yield under Trump, highest of second term
10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.7%, highest of Trump's second term. Fed pause in next three meetings at 34% YES. The post 10-year Treasury yield und...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran peace talks collapse triggers oil price surge, US economic concerns
Iran peace talks collapse triggers oil price surge. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 19% YES. The post Iran peace talks collap...
Jul 24open_in_new
US weapons stocks depleting amid ongoing strikes with Iran
US weapons stocks are depleting amid ongoing strikes with Iran. US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% YES, uranium enrichment cap at 32.5% YES, and enrichment m...
Jul 24open_in_new
Explosive-laden drones target US base in Iraq amid Iran tensions
Explosive-laden drones targeted a U.S. base in Iraq amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES. The post...
Jul 24open_in_new
US, Ukraine push to resume peace talks with Russia for partial ceasefire
US and Ukraine push to resume peace talks with Russia for a partial ceasefire. Ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026 at 36.5% YES. The post US, Ukr...
Jul 24open_in_new
Jordanian army intercepts Iranian drones and missiles amid regional tensions
Jordanian army intercepts Iranian drones and missiles. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES. The post Jordanian army in...
Jul 24open_in_new
Bank of America strategist urges Fed rate hike to stabilize Treasury market
Bank of America strategist calls for a Fed rate hike to stabilize the Treasury market. Rate hike by September 2026 at 61% YES. The post Bank of Americ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran claims strike on US facilities, destroys Patriot air-defense system
Iran claims to have struck US facilities, destroying a Patriot system. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 38% YES. The post Iran claims strike on US ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Drone strike hits Saudi logistics depot amid Iran-US-Israel conflict escalation
Drone strike hits Saudi logistics depot amid escalating Iran-U.S.-Israel tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES....
Jul 24open_in_new