Iran strikes US bases in Jordan, Kuwait amid escalating conflict
Iran strikes U.S. bases in Jordan and Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 62.5% YES. The post Iran strikes US bases in Jordan, ...
Jul 19open_in_new
U (U) — News
1,876 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Iran attacks Kuwait power plants amid US-Iran conflict escalation
Iran attacked Kuwait's power plants amid rising tensions. Final U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post Iran attacks Kuwait po...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran warns US of devastating response amid renewed 2026 conflict
Iran warns of a severe response to U.S. actions amid renewed conflict. US-Iran deal in 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post Iran warns US of devastating respon...
Jul 19open_in_new
Fuel shortages hit Iran’s Sistan province amid US military strikes
Fuel shortages hit Iran's Sistan province amid U.S. military strikes. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by August 31 at 9.5% YES. The post...
Jul 19open_in_new
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Trump’s $1.4B Crypto Income Draws Scrutiny as Senate Weighs CLARITY Act
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is pressing President Donald Trump for updated cryptocurrency earnings disclosures as senators consider the CLARITY Act,...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran’s low-cost drones challenge US military systems amid rising tensions
Iran's drones challenge U.S. military systems amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES. The post Iran’s low-co...
Jul 19open_in_new
Moonshot AI announcement sends US tech stocks tumbling
Moonshot AI's announcement causes U.S. tech stocks to drop. Alphabet's chance to be the second-largest company by market cap on July 31 at 5.5% YES. T...
Jul 19open_in_new
Ralph Norman announces bid for US Senate seat, leads GOP primary polls
Ralph Norman announced his bid for the U.S. Senate seat and leads GOP primary polls. Norman as Republican nominee at 21.5% YES. The post Ralph Norman ...
Jul 19open_in_new
CLARITY Act Delivers 3 Key Benefits for Developers, Investors, and Markets, Senator Says
U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis highlighted three key benefits of the CLARITY Act, arguing that the legislation would form part of a broader digital asset...
Jul 19open_in_new
Trump justifies US strikes on Iran to prevent nuclear weapon development
Trump justifies U.S. strikes on Iran to prevent nuclear development. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 28.5% YES. The post Trump justifies US s...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran targets US military facilities at two Kuwait bases: state TV
Iran targeted U.S. military facilities at two bases in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 58% YES. The post Iran targets US mi...
Jul 19open_in_new
Two US service members killed; Trump poised for rapid escalation against Iran
Two U.S. service members were killed, increasing fears of escalation. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 8.8% YES. The post Two US service mem...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran exports 70M barrels of oil to China during brief US blockade lift
Iran exported 70 million barrels of oil to China during a brief U.S. blockade lift. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by August 31 at 9.5% YES. T...
Jul 19open_in_new
Drone carrying explosives downed near US consulate in Erbil, Iraq
A drone carrying explosives was downed near the U.S. consulate in Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 58.5% YES. The ...
Jul 18open_in_new
The state department has issued a new worldwide caution urging americans to reconsider travel to the Middle East as tensions continue to escalate
State Department warns against travel to the Middle East amid rising tensions. U.S.-Iran deal by 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post The state department has ...
Jul 18open_in_new
EU, Gulf states reject Iran’s sovereignty claims over Strait of Hormuz
EU and Gulf states reject Iran's claims over the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. charges for Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026 at 7.5% YES. The post EU, Gulf st...
Jul 18open_in_new
Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 challenges US models, may impact Anthropic valuation
Moonshot AI launched the Kimi K3 model, challenging U.S. competitors. Anthropic's valuation hitting $1.25T by December at 91% YES. The post Moonshot A...
Jul 18open_in_new
Trump suggests options to weaken Iran amid ongoing conflict
Trump suggests options to weaken Iran amid conflict. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post Trump suggests options ...
Jul 18open_in_new
Iran strikes Kuwait desalination plant again amid escalating conflict
Iran strikes Kuwait's desalination plant again, escalating conflict. U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by August 13 at 2% YES. The post Iran strikes Kuwait desal...
Jul 18open_in_new
Iran indicts Trump and Netanyahu amid renewed hostilities in 2026 war
Iran indicts Trump and Netanyahu amid renewed hostilities. U.S.-Iran deal for reconstruction funding at 25.5% YES. The post Iran indicts Trump and Net...
Jul 18open_in_new
China builds US Navy destroyer replica for missile testing in Xinjiang desert
China builds a replica of a U.S. Navy destroyer for missile testing. Military clash with Japan before 2027 at 7.5% YES, clash with Philippines at 11.0...
Jul 18open_in_new
Sirens sound at US air base, Saudi oil terminal amid Houthi conflict escalation
Sirens sounded at a U.S. air base and Saudi oil terminal amid Houthi conflict escalation. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran may exit nuclear treaty, unveil weapon amid US tensions
Iran may withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. U.S.-Iran deal on reconstruction funding in 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post Iran may exit nuc...
Jul 17open_in_new
Philly Shipyard to build ‘Golden Defender’ for US missile defense strategy
Philly Shipyard will build the 'Golden Defender' for U.S. missile defense. Military clash between China and Philippines before 2027 at 11% YES. The po...
Jul 17open_in_new
NATO commits €70B annually to Ukraine, US absent from funding
NATO commits 70B annually to Ukraine without U.S. funding. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21% YES. The post NATO commits €70B annua...
Jul 17open_in_new
Trump claims China stole 220M US voter files, risking diplomatic thaw
Trump claims China stole 220M U.S. voter files, risking diplomatic thaw. Xi Jinping visit to U.S. before 2027 at 87% YES. The post Trump claims China ...
Jul 17open_in_new
Merchant vessel incident near Duqm amid US-Iran tensions
A merchant vessel incident near Duqm raises concerns amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Houthi attacks on shipping by August 31, 2026 priced at 59.5% YES. The p...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran attacks US airbase in Bahrain amid escalating conflict
Iran attacks a U.S. airbase in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran attacks US air...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns of Israeli interference in US policy amid 2026 crisis
Iran warns of Israeli interference in U.S. policy. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of Israeli int...
Jul 17open_in_new
Two July Windows Left: The CLARITY Act’s Senate Fight and What Failure Means
The CLARITY Act faces its last realistic Senate votes in July. With passage odds near 48%, here's what a failed crypto market structure bill means for...
Jul 17open_in_new