Bahrain activates air raid sirens amid Iran-US tensions
Bahrain activates air raid sirens amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 46% YES. The post Bahrain activates...
Jul 24open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
CLARITY Act faces Senate Democrat resistance over ethics provision
CLARITY Act faces Senate Democrat resistance over ethics provision. Act signed into law in 2026 at 32.5% YES. The post CLARITY Act faces Senate Democr...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump confirms US-Iran talks, undecided on military strikes
Trump confirms US-Iran talks but undecided on military action. Meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES. The post Trump confirms US-Iran talks...
Jul 24open_in_new
Saudi Arabia strikes Hudaydah after Red Sea vessel attack; Houthis warn escalation
Saudi Arabia strikes Hudaydah after a Red Sea vessel attack. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 23.5% YES. The post Saudi Arab...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump frustrated as Iran conflict extends beyond five months
Trump expresses frustration over the extended Iran conflict. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% YES. The post Trump frustrated as...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump warns of grave consequences if Iran acquires nuclear weapons
Trump warns of grave consequences if Iran acquires nuclear weapons. U.S.-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Trump...
Jul 24open_in_new
Saudi vessel NCC Masa attacked in Red Sea, sustains minor hull damage
NCC Masa attacked in the Red Sea, sustaining minor damage. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 21.5% YES. The post Saudi vessel...
Jul 24open_in_new
Yemen nears renewed conflict as Iran tensions rise
Yemen is at risk of renewed conflict as Iran tensions rise. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Yemen nears renewed ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump: Iran not ready yet to make a deal
Trump says Iran is not ready to make a deal. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 43% YES. The post Trump: Iran not ready yet to make a deal ...
Jul 24open_in_new
US threatens to destroy IRGC revenue facilities amid rising tensions with Iran
US threatens to destroy IRGC revenue facilities amid rising tensions. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal in 2026 at 29% YES. The post US th...
Jul 24open_in_new
US military fires missiles at LPG tanker suspected of carrying Iranian gas
US military fires missiles at an LPG tanker suspected of carrying Iranian gas. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by September 30 at 21.5% ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran denies Trump face-saving victory, maintains Strait of Hormuz stance
Iran denies Trump a face-saving victory and maintains its Strait of Hormuz stance. End of blockade by August 31, 2026 at 43% YES. The post Iran denies...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran’s new leader may pursue nuclear weapon, US intelligence reports
Iran's new leader may pursue nuclear weapons, impacting market views. Deal on reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Iran’s new leader ma...
Jul 24open_in_new
Iran warns US of ‘painful’ consequences amid rising tensions
Iran warns of 'painful' consequences for US actions amid rising tensions. Deal for Iran reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Iran warns...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump suggests larger military operation against Iran, sparking Washington debate
Trump suggests a larger military operation against Iran, raising invasion odds. Invasion before 2027 at 28.5% YES. The post Trump suggests larger mili...
Jul 24open_in_new
Team Vitality and Team Falcons withdraw from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2
Team Vitality and Team Falcons withdrew from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2. Team Spirit winning now at 45% YES. The post Team Vitality and Team Falcons w...
Jul 24open_in_new
Team Liquid defeats Team Vitality in BLAST Bounty 2026 Round of 32
Team Liquid defeats Team Vitality in BLAST Bounty 2026. Vitality's odds of winning the tournament drop to 0.5% YES. The post Team Liquid defeats Team ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Poolin files for Chapter 11, plans Texas site auction to repay creditors
Poolin files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and plans to auction Texas sites. Bitcoin reaching $67.5K in July 2026 at 24.5% YES. The post Poolin files for ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Bahrain, Kuwait reportedly strike Iran drone, missile depots amid 2026 conflict
Bahrain and Kuwait reportedly strike Iranian depots amid ongoing conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45.5% YES. The p...
Jul 24open_in_new
Ship insurers limit war coverage for Saudi cargoes amid Red Sea tensions
Ship insurers limit war coverage for Saudi cargoes amid Red Sea tensions. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 22.5% YES. The po...
Jul 24open_in_new
Anthropic’s new AI model challenges Fable 5 with cost-effective performance
Anthropic's new AI model competes with Fable 5 on performance and cost. Third-best AI model by July 2026 at 93.7% YES. The post Anthropic’s new AI mod...
Jul 24open_in_new
Russia targets Ukrainian UAV exhibition in missile strike, 10 reported dead
Russia strikes a Ukrainian UAV exhibition, killing 10. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES. The post Russia targets Ukrainian ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Oil prices fall as Iran tensions rise, Trump warns China and Russia
Oil prices decline amid rising Iran tensions and Trump's warnings. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 9.7% YES. The post Oil pr...
Jul 24open_in_new
US B-1B bombers enter CENTCOM area amid Iran tensions
US B-1B bombers entered the CENTCOM area amid tensions with Iran. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 33% YES. The post US B-1B bombers enter CENTCOM ...
Jul 24open_in_new
US targets Iranian financier Zanjani network with new sanctions
US imposes new sanctions on Iranian financier Zanjani. Iran developing nuclear weapon before 2027 at 5.7% YES. The post US targets Iranian financier Z...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump and Zelensky to discuss air ceasefire plan in Washington next week
Trump and Zelensky to discuss air ceasefire in Washington next week. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 36% YES. The post Trump and Zelensky to discuss...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump warns Iran of consequences, peace terms still unclear
Trump warns Iran of consequences, leaving peace terms unclear. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 30% YES. The post Trump warns Iran ...
Jul 24open_in_new
Oil prices fall below $100, stabilizing US and European stock markets
Oil prices fall below $100, stabilizing stock markets. New all-time high for crude oil by September 30 at 10.5% YES. The post Oil prices fall below $1...
Jul 24open_in_new
Senator McCormick urges Senate vote on Clarity Act for digital asset regulation
Senator McCormick urges Senate vote on the Clarity Act for digital asset regulation. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 34.5% YES. The post Senato...
Jul 24open_in_new
Trump threatens Iran, Houthis after strikes on US sites in Kuwait
Trump threatens Iran and Houthis after strikes on US sites in Kuwait. US-Iran deal terms for reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES. The post Trump...
Jul 24open_in_new