Iran-US talks show minor progress amid fragile 2026 ceasefire
Iran-US talks show minor progress. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 44.5% YES. The post Iran-US talks show minor progress amid fragile 20...
Jul 17open_in_new
Us (US) — News
6,649 articles · updated every 3 minutes
US Marines board commercial tanker in Gulf of Oman amid naval blockade
US Marines boarded a commercial tanker in the Gulf of Oman amid a naval blockade. Houthi attacks on shipping by August 31, 2026, at 57% YES. The post ...
Jul 17open_in_new
Oil prices jump 13% amid US-Iran tensions, Strait of Hormuz closure
Oil prices jumped 13% amid US-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz closure. New all-time high by December 31 at 11.5% YES. The post Oil prices jump 13% ...
Jul 17open_in_new
China calls US visa rules ‘discriminatory’, warns of countermeasures
China criticizes US visa rules and warns of countermeasures. Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027 now at 87% YES. The post China calls US visa rules...
Jul 17open_in_new
US executives sell shares at second-fastest pace in 20 years, and crypto investors should pay attention
US corporate insiders sold $77.6 billion in shares during H1 2026, a 20% jump from last year. Here's why crypto investors should care about the signal...
Jul 17open_in_new
US equity futures fall as semiconductor stock selloff intensifies, dragging crypto lower
US equity futures dropped as semiconductor stocks lost over $2 trillion since June. Bitcoin fell below $63,000 and Ether slid 1.74% in the risk-off wa...
Jul 17open_in_new
US targets Iranian naval assets amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US targets Iranian naval assets amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US targets Iranian naval ass...
Jul 17open_in_new
Human Rights Watch criticizes FIFA over human rights abuses at World Cup
Human Rights Watch is pressuring FIFA over immigration enforcement, discrimination, and child safety concerns ahead of the 2026 World Cup across the U...
Jul 17open_in_new
US strikes six road bridges in southern Iran as Bitcoin slides below $63K on geopolitical fears
US airstrikes hit six bridges in southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz for the sixth straight night, pushing Bitcoin below $63K on geopolitical fear...
Jul 17open_in_new
Kimi K3 launches as world’s largest open-source AI model with 2.8 trillion parameters
Moonshot AI launches Kimi K3 with 2.8 trillion parameters, rivaling top closed US AI models. Here's what it means for crypto and tech investors. The p...
Jul 17open_in_new
UK sentences two hackers tied to $115M crypto ransom scheme
The pair pleaded guilty after investigators linked them to the Scattered Spider cybercrime group, which US prosecutors say extorted dozens of companie...
Jul 17open_in_new
UK sentences 2 hackers tied to $115M crypto ransom scheme
The pair pleaded guilty after investigators linked them to the Scattered Spider cybercrime group, which US prosecutors say extorted dozens of companie...
Jul 17open_in_new
Merchant vessel incident near Duqm amid US-Iran tensions
A merchant vessel incident near Duqm raises concerns amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Houthi attacks on shipping by August 31, 2026 priced at 59.5% YES. The p...
Jul 17open_in_new
UK designates Iran’s IRGC as national security threat under new law
UK designates Iran's IRGC as a national security threat. US-Iran final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post UK designates Iran’s IRGC...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran attacks US airbase in Bahrain amid escalating conflict
Iran attacks a U.S. airbase in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran attacks US air...
Jul 17open_in_new
US bond market rallies on softest inflation print since 2020, traders abandon rate hike bets
June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the first decline since 2020, sparking a US bond rally as traders unwind rate hike bets and reprice Fed expectati...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns of Israeli interference in US policy amid 2026 crisis
Iran warns of Israeli interference in U.S. policy. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of Israeli int...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns US of stronger retaliation amid 2026 conflict escalation
Iran warns of stronger retaliation against US amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warn...
Jul 17open_in_new
Bond investors demand highest compensation since October 2022 for Middle Eastern governments amid US-Iran tensions
Middle Eastern sovereign bond spreads hit 402 bps over Treasuries, the widest since October 2022, as US-Iran tensions drive the fastest spread widenin...
Jul 17open_in_new
US airstrikes hit Iranian bridges, port amid ongoing conflict
US airstrikes target Iranian infrastructure amid ongoing conflict. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US airstrikes h...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran launches missile strike on US command center in Syria, escalating conflict
Iran launched a missile strike on a US command center in Syria, raising concerns about regime stability. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 9.5% YE...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards claim to target US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, rattling crypto and oil markets
Iran's IRGC claimed missile strikes on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. Bitcoin slid near $63K and oil surged to $80 as geopolitical tensions rattled marke...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran’s IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar amid 2026 conflict
Iran's IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran’s IRGC claims attac...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran’s IRGC targets US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar amid 2026 conflict escalation
Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post...
Jul 17open_in_new
PBF Energy shares surge 116% in 2026 amid US-Iran tensions, refining margin boost
PBF Energy shares surged 116% in 2026 amid US-Iran tensions. Refining margins boost at 3.5% YES for gold hitting $10,000 by December. The post PBF Ene...
Jul 17open_in_new
Trump administration criticizes UN, exits 31 entities since 2025
Trump administration criticizes the UN and exits 31 entities since 2025. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 4.2% YES. The post Trump administr...
Jul 17open_in_new
Persian Gulf shipping nears halt, oil prices rise amid US-Iran conflict
Shipping in the Persian Gulf nears halt amid US-Iran conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 9.5% YES. The post Persian Gul...
Jul 17open_in_new
Vessel hijacked off Yemen as Iranian missile hits US Patriot battery
A vessel was hijacked off Yemen as an Iranian missile hit a US Patriot battery. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. T...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns of retaliation as US-Iran tensions escalate
Iran warns of retaliation amid rising tensions with the US. Iran Reconstruction Funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of...
Jul 17open_in_new
China’s Kimi AI model narrows gap with US, challenges AI leaders
China's Kimi AI model narrows the gap with U.S. leaders. Anthropic having the third-best AI model by July 2026 at 92% YES. The post China’s Kimi AI mo...
Jul 17open_in_new