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An explosive-laden drone was shot down near the US consulate in Erbil, Iraq, but crypto markets priced in less Iranian conflict risk after the inciden...
US strikes target Iranian positions amid escalating conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 59% YES. The post US strikes ...
A drone carrying explosives was downed near the U.S. consulate in Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 58.5% YES. The ...
US Central Command launched a seventh consecutive night of airstrikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin fell below $64,000 as...
China's record $1.2 trillion trade surplus and booming high-value exports are reshaping global manufacturing, US trade policy, and investment strategi...
Iran claims responsibility for an attack on a US base in Jordan, raising military action odds against a Gulf state on July 22 to 57% YES. The post Ira...
Major oil companies suspended 125,000 barrels per day of Kurdistan production amid US-Iran tensions, with implications for oil prices and crypto marke...
Belgium bans goods from Israeli settlements in occupied territories. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 3.7% YES. The post Belgium bans goods ...
Iranian missile and drone strikes killed two US service members at Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan, escalating tensions with potential ripple effects...
US Secretary of War Hegseth says military casualties strengthen resolve in Iran conflict. US invasion of Iran by 2027 at 30.5% YES. The post US milita...
US Central Command reportedly redirected five vessels and disabled one near Iran. Here's what it means for energy markets, geopolitical risk, and cryp...
US nonfarm payrolls rose 57,000 in June 2026, extending a four-month streak, but nearly 2 million Americans remain long-term unemployed as growth slow...
Iran rejects US navigation corridor in Hormuz Strait. US ends Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 44% YES. The post Iran rejects US ‘parallel corri...
US sanctions have again put stablecoins at the centre of the enforcement debate after addresses linked to Iran were added to the Treasury Department’s
Palestinian flags are being confiscated at US World Cup venues despite FIFA rules allowing them, exposing governance gaps relevant to sports and digit...
US reinstates naval blockade on Iranian ports. End of blockade by August 31, 2026 at 44% YES. The post US reinstates naval blockade on Iranian ports a...
US troops defend against Iranian missile and drone attacks in Kuwait and Bahrain. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state on July 22 at 54.5% YES...
Two US service members were killed in Iran-linked strikes on Jordan's Al-Azraq Air Base. Bitcoin held near $63K as crypto markets saw $1B in liquidati...
China's WAIC 2026 AI announcements, including Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 and MiniMax's M3, sent the Nasdaq down 1.4% and pushed semiconductors into bear Th...
Iraq signs $60B energy deals with Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and BP. US-Iran nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2% YES. The post Iraq inks $60B energy d...
US air strikes hit Iran's Hormozgan province amid rising tensions. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES, full airspace closure by July 31 a...
Iran condemns US strike on desalination plant as a war crime. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.9% YES. The post Iran condemns US strike on d...
Moonshot AI launched the Kimi K3 model, challenging U.S. competitors. Anthropic's valuation hitting $1.25T by December at 91% YES. The post Moonshot A...
Explosions hit the US Fifth Fleet HQ in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 53.5% YES. The post E...
Iran warns UAE of potential evacuations amid US tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 53.5% YES. The post Iran warns UAE airpor...
France reportedly withdrew $15B in gold from US vaults, sparking de-dollarization debate. What the unverified reports mean for Bitcoin and crypto inve...
France reportedly withdrew $15B in gold from US vaults, sparking de-dollarization debate. What the unverified reports mean for Bitcoin and crypto inve...
US destroys 116 telecom towers in southern Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 50.5% YES, military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 5...
Iraq commits to $60B in energy deals with US and British oil majors as envoy Tom Barrack builds a strategic Middle East corridor with macro implicatio...
OpenEvidence reportedly considers raising $200M at a $20B valuation, marking a rapid ascent for the AI medical platform used by over 40% of US physici...
