US Central Command releases footage of 12th night of airstrikes on Iran
US Central Command released footage of ongoing airstrikes on Iran. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 41.5% YES, by August 31 at 59.5% YES. The post ...
Jul 23open_in_new
AT (AT) — News
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US military conducts 12th consecutive night of airstrikes on Iran
US military conducts 12th night of airstrikes on Iran. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59.5% YES. The post US military conducts 12th consecutive...
Jul 23open_in_new
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BitMEX Closes Doors as the Perpetual Swap It Invented Rules Rivals
BitMEX, the exchange that invented the crypto perpetual swap, will shut down completely on September 23, 2026, at 04:00 UTC. HDR Global Trading Limite...
Jul 23open_in_new
Ramat Gan opens bomb shelters amid escalating US-Iran missile strikes
Ramat Gan opens bomb shelters amid US-Iran missile strikes. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 3.4% YES. The post Ramat Gan opens bomb shelters ...
Jul 23open_in_new
BitMEX, Pioneer of Crypto Perps, Closes Down Just as the Market Heats Up
BitMEX, the derivative exchange that revolutionised crypto trading with the invention of the perpetual swap, has announced it will shut down its platf...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran, Houthis attack oil tankers, escalating Gulf tensions
Iran and Houthis attacked oil tankers, raising tensions. Bab al-Mandeb Strait closure by September 30 at 28% YES. The post Iran, Houthis attack oil ta...
Jul 23open_in_new
Gulf oil producers invest billions in pipelines to bypass Strait of Hormuz
Gulf oil producers invest billions in new pipelines to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. WTI reaching $110 in July 2026 at 7.2% YES. The post Gulf oil prod...
Jul 23open_in_new
US oil prices exceed $90/barrel amid Middle East tensions
US oil prices exceed $90/barrel amid Middle East tensions. New all-time high by September 30 at 7.2% YES, by December 31 at 16.5% YES. The post US oil...
Jul 23open_in_new
Tehran court sentences protester Ahad Shokouhian to death three times
Tehran court sentences protester Ahad Shokouhian to death three times. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES. The post Tehran court sentence...
Jul 23open_in_new
Explosions hit Iran’s Velayat Navy base and Jask airport amid ongoing conflict
Explosions hit Iran's Velayat Navy base and Jask airport amid ongoing conflict. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES. The post Explosions hit...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran threatens regional infrastructure amid 2026 war escalation
Iran threatens to escalate attacks on regional infrastructure. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES. The post Iran thre...
Jul 23open_in_new
Oil price surge triggers global bond sell-off amid inflation fears
Oil prices surge, causing a global bond sell-off amid inflation fears. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 16.5% YES. The post Oi...
Jul 23open_in_new
Rubio warns Trump ready to retaliate if Iran targets US interests
Rubio warns of Trump's readiness to retaliate against Iran. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Rubio warns Trum...
Jul 23open_in_new
Jordan intercepts four Iranian missiles, six drones amid regional tensions
Jordan intercepts four Iranian missiles and six drones. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 30.5% YES. The post Jordan intercep...
Jul 23open_in_new
Explosions hit Shalamcheh border crossing amid Iran-US tensions
Explosions hit the Shalamcheh border crossing amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 39% YES. The post Explosions hit Shalamcheh bo...
Jul 23open_in_new
BitMEX to shut down exchange after 11 years of operations
BitMEX will shut down its exchange on Sept. 23, 2026, at 04:00 UTC after its board concluded a review of the business and the crypto sector. The post ...
Jul 23open_in_new
Fed Chair Warsh signals no immediate rate cuts amid inflation concerns
Fed Chair Warsh signals no immediate rate cuts due to inflation concerns. Rate cut in next three meetings at 0.1% YES. The post Fed Chair Warsh signal...
Jul 23open_in_new
Iran conflict escalation to Red Sea threatens global oil supply routes
Iran's conflict escalates to the Red Sea, raising oil supply concerns. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by August 31 at 13.5% YES. The post Iran...
Jul 23open_in_new
Rubio: Iran eager for US deal amid ongoing nuclear talks
Rubio claims Iran is eager for a deal with the US amid nuclear talks. Gold reaching $4,600 in July at 0.8% YES. The post Rubio: Iran eager for US deal...
Jul 23open_in_new
Rubio doubts Iran’s readiness for US nuclear deal
Rubio doubts Iran's readiness for a nuclear deal. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES. The post Rubio doubts Iran’s readines...
Jul 23open_in_new
Houthis attack Saudi tankers, one on fire in Red Sea
Houthis attacked Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, raising closure concerns. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 26% YES. The p...
Jul 23open_in_new
Oil prices rise for fifth day amid Middle East tensions, chokepoint threats
Oil prices rise for the fifth day amid Middle East tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 16% YES. The post Oil prices ris...
Jul 23open_in_new
Tokenized equity on Solana hits record $500M milestone
Tokenized equity on Solana reaches a record $500 million. Solana to hit $90 by July 2026 at 5% YES. The post Tokenized equity on Solana hits record $5...
Jul 23open_in_new
Smarter Web Company sells 177.89 BTC to repay $12M, holds 2,700 BTC
Smarter Web Company sells 177.89 BTC to repay $12M, keeping 2,700 BTC. Bitcoin above $54K on July 24, 2026 at 99.9% YES. The post Smarter Web Company ...
Jul 23open_in_new
EU freezes Russian oil price at $44.10 per barrel for 12 months
EU freezes Russian oil price at $44.10 per barrel for 12 months. New all-time high in crude oil by September 30 at 6.7% YES. The post EU freezes Russi...
Jul 23open_in_new
CLARITY Act faces delay as ethics, finance provisions stall negotiations
CLARITY Act faces delays as key provisions stall negotiations. Act signed into law in 2026 at 34.5% YES. The post CLARITY Act faces delay as ethics, f...
Jul 23open_in_new
Clarity Act’s 2026 prospects dim as Senate stalls, Polymarket odds drop
Clarity Act's chances for 2026 dim as Senate stalls. Market now at 35.5% YES. The post Clarity Act’s 2026 prospects dim as Senate stalls, Polymarket o...
Jul 23open_in_new
US missile strike damages farmer equipment in Iran’s Bushehr
US missile strike damages farmer equipment in Iran's Bushehr. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 56.5% YES. The post US missile strike damages farm...
Jul 23open_in_new
Bitcoin, Ethereum protocols lose $35M in security breaches
Bitcoin and Ethereum protocols lost $35M in security breaches. Bitcoin reaching $82,500 in July at 0.2% YES, while $67,500 at 59.5% YES. The post Bitc...
Jul 23open_in_new
Alphabet’s AI investments raise market cap ranking concerns
Alphabet's AI investments raise concerns about its market position. Alphabet as the second-largest company by market cap on July 31 at 2.7% YES. The p...
Jul 23open_in_new