
UK sentences 2 hackers tied to $115M crypto ransom scheme
The pair pleaded guilty after investigators linked them to the Scattered Spider cybercrime group, which US prosecutors say extorted dozens of companie...
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The pair pleaded guilty after investigators linked them to the Scattered Spider cybercrime group, which US prosecutors say extorted dozens of companie...

A merchant vessel incident near Duqm raises concerns amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Houthi attacks on shipping by August 31, 2026 priced at 59.5% YES. The p...

UK designates Iran's IRGC as a national security threat. US-Iran final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post UK designates Iran’s IRGC...

Iran attacks a U.S. airbase in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran attacks US air...

June CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month, the first decline since 2020, sparking a US bond rally as traders unwind rate hike bets and reprice Fed expectati...

Iran warns of Israeli interference in U.S. policy. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of Israeli int...

Iran warns of stronger retaliation against US amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warn...

Middle Eastern sovereign bond spreads hit 402 bps over Treasuries, the widest since October 2022, as US-Iran tensions drive the fastest spread widenin...

US airstrikes target Iranian infrastructure amid ongoing conflict. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US airstrikes h...

Iran launched a missile strike on a US command center in Syria, raising concerns about regime stability. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 9.5% YE...

Iran's IRGC claimed missile strikes on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. Bitcoin slid near $63K and oil surged to $80 as geopolitical tensions rattled marke...

Iran's IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran’s IRGC claims attac...

Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post...

PBF Energy shares surged 116% in 2026 amid US-Iran tensions. Refining margins boost at 3.5% YES for gold hitting $10,000 by December. The post PBF Ene...

Trump administration criticizes the UN and exits 31 entities since 2025. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 4.2% YES. The post Trump administr...

Shipping in the Persian Gulf nears halt amid US-Iran conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 9.5% YES. The post Persian Gul...

A vessel was hijacked off Yemen as an Iranian missile hit a US Patriot battery. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. T...

Iran warns of retaliation amid rising tensions with the US. Iran Reconstruction Funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of...

China's Kimi AI model narrows the gap with U.S. leaders. Anthropic having the third-best AI model by July 2026 at 92% YES. The post China’s Kimi AI mo...

Iran's IRGC struck US aircraft at Jordan's Azraq Air Base in Operation Nasr 2 wave six. Oil jumped 4% while Bitcoin held $62,600-$64,700 rangebound. T...

Benjamin Wiener faces 29 federal counts including wire fraud and money laundering over an alleged $20M Ponzi scheme run through his Benaiah crypto ent...

The 2026 World Cup projects up to $10.9 billion in revenue. Kraken becomes the first official crypto exchange sponsor while US host cities face $250 m...

Federal prosecutors allege the South Dakota investor used false promises to raise money, repaid earlier investors with new funds and laundered proceed...

A Ramp Economics Lab study of 21,559 US firms finds heavy AI adopters grew headcounts by 10.2% in two years, with entry-level roles up 12%. The post U...

US Marines boarded the sanctioned Iranian supertanker Wen Yao in the Gulf of Oman as CENTCOM enforces a naval blockade, with implications for energy a...

US Marines inspect an Iran-flagged tanker amid intensified blockade enforcement. End of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026 at 16.5% YES. The post US Ma...

Xi opposes US-led AI restrictions at the 2026 World AI Conference. Xi's US visit before 2027 now at 88.5% YES. The post Xi opposes US-led AI restricti...

Iran fires missiles at Gulf states amid US airstrikes. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 23.5% YES. The post Iran fires missiles at Gulf states as US...

US-Iran conflict escalates with targeted strikes on infrastructure. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US-Iran confli...

US conducts airstrikes near Iran's Qeshm amid war escalation. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post US conduct...