US targets Iranian naval assets amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US targets Iranian naval assets amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US targets Iranian naval ass...
Jul 17open_in_new
YES (YES) — News
1,296 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Pirates suspected in Gulf of Aden vessel boarding, maritime alert heightened
Pirates suspected in a Gulf of Aden vessel boarding. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 21.5% YES. The post Pirates suspected ...
Jul 17open_in_new
Merchant vessel incident near Duqm amid US-Iran tensions
A merchant vessel incident near Duqm raises concerns amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Houthi attacks on shipping by August 31, 2026 priced at 59.5% YES. The p...
Jul 17open_in_new
UK designates Iran’s IRGC as national security threat under new law
UK designates Iran's IRGC as a national security threat. US-Iran final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.6% YES. The post UK designates Iran’s IRGC...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran attacks US airbase in Bahrain amid escalating conflict
Iran attacks a U.S. airbase in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran attacks US air...
Jul 17open_in_new
Fedorov ouster exposes power struggle around Zelensky amid Russian pressure
Fedorov's ouster reveals power struggles in Ukraine amid Russian pressure. Peace deal with Russia before 2027 at 19.5% YES. The post Fedorov ouster ex...
Jul 17open_in_new
Fed reintroduces M2 money supply as key gauge amid liquidity focus
Fed Chairman Warsh reintroduces M2 money supply as a key gauge. Rate hike by September 2026 at 33.5% YES. The post Fed reintroduces M2 money supply as...
Jul 17open_in_new
Clarity Act faces hurdles as odds of becoming law drop
Clarity Act faces hurdles as odds of becoming law drop. Act signed into law in 2026 at 31.5% YES. The post Clarity Act faces hurdles as odds of becomi...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns of Israeli interference in US policy amid 2026 crisis
Iran warns of Israeli interference in U.S. policy. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of Israeli int...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns US of stronger retaliation amid 2026 conflict escalation
Iran warns of stronger retaliation against US amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warn...
Jul 17open_in_new
US airstrikes hit Iranian bridges, port amid ongoing conflict
US airstrikes target Iranian infrastructure amid ongoing conflict. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post US airstrikes h...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran launches missile strike on US command center in Syria, escalating conflict
Iran launched a missile strike on a US command center in Syria, raising concerns about regime stability. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 9.5% YE...
Jul 17open_in_new
Ukraine targets Russian fuel vessels in Black Sea escalation
Ukraine targets Russian fuel vessels in the Black Sea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES, Russia entering Sloviansk at 21% YES. The ...
Jul 17open_in_new
Nansen launches ETH staking service with Lido V3 stVaults integration
Nansen launches ETH staking service with Lido V3 integration. Ethereum reaching $10,000 by December 31, 2026 at 1.9% YES. The post Nansen launches ETH...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran’s IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar amid 2026 conflict
Iran's IRGC claims attack on US al Udeid base in Qatar. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post Iran’s IRGC claims attac...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran’s IRGC targets US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar amid 2026 conflict escalation
Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post...
Jul 17open_in_new
Moonshot’s Kimi K3 AI model disrupts global markets, hits AI stock valuations
Moonshot's Kimi K3 AI model disrupts global markets, causing Alphabet's odds of being the second-largest company by market cap on July 31 to drop to 9...
Jul 17open_in_new
China ramps up diplomatic pressure on Taiwan, PNG closes office
China increases diplomatic pressure on Taiwan as PNG closes its office. Invasion by December 31, 2027 at 10.5% YES. The post China ramps up diplomatic...
Jul 17open_in_new
PBF Energy shares surge 116% in 2026 amid US-Iran tensions, refining margin boost
PBF Energy shares surged 116% in 2026 amid US-Iran tensions. Refining margins boost at 3.5% YES for gold hitting $10,000 by December. The post PBF Ene...
Jul 17open_in_new
Trump administration criticizes UN, exits 31 entities since 2025
Trump administration criticizes the UN and exits 31 entities since 2025. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 4.2% YES. The post Trump administr...
Jul 17open_in_new
Bitcoin market bottom countdown nears 50 days as supply in loss
Bitcoin market bottom countdown nears 50 days as supply in loss exceeds 50%. Bitcoin above $60K by July 17, 2026 at 99.8% YES. The post Bitcoin market...
Jul 17open_in_new
Persian Gulf shipping nears halt, oil prices rise amid US-Iran conflict
Shipping in the Persian Gulf nears halt amid US-Iran conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 9.5% YES. The post Persian Gul...
Jul 17open_in_new
Vessel hijacked off Yemen as Iranian missile hits US Patriot battery
A vessel was hijacked off Yemen as an Iranian missile hit a US Patriot battery. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. T...
Jul 17open_in_new
Brent crude rises to $86.09, up $16 from last year: Fortune
Brent crude rises to $86.09, up $16 from last year. New all-time high by September 30 at 5% YES. The post Brent crude rises to $86.09, up $16 from las...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iran warns of retaliation as US-Iran tensions escalate
Iran warns of retaliation amid rising tensions with the US. Iran Reconstruction Funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post Iran warns of...
Jul 17open_in_new
Iranian forces interact with merchant vessel amid Gulf tensions
Iranian forces interacted with a merchant vessel amid Gulf tensions. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by August 31 at 11.5% YES. The post...
Jul 17open_in_new
China’s Kimi AI model narrows gap with US, challenges AI leaders
China's Kimi AI model narrows the gap with U.S. leaders. Anthropic having the third-best AI model by July 2026 at 92% YES. The post China’s Kimi AI mo...
Jul 17open_in_new
Unauthorized boarding reported in Gulf of Aden amid piracy resurgence
Unauthorized boarding reported in the Gulf of Aden amid piracy resurgence. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 27.5% YES. The p...
Jul 17open_in_new
Oil tanker hit near CPC terminal in Black Sea amid Russia-Ukraine tensions
An oil tanker was hit near the CPC terminal in the Black Sea amid ongoing tensions. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 at 3.2% YES...
Jul 17open_in_new
Ukraine shifts from defense aid recipient to drone tech provider amid Russia conflict
Ukraine shifts to drone tech provider amid conflict with Russia. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES. The post Ukraine shifts from def...
Jul 17open_in_new