French President Betting Odds: What Does Le Pen’s 43.3% Snapshot Mean?
A Polymarket snapshot put Le Pen near 43.3% for 2027, while French school protests drew 256,000 to 450,000 people on October 6 in rival estimates. The...
Oct 7open_in_new
POLYMARKET (POLYMARKET) — News
346 articles · updated every 3 minutes
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Polymarket Is Rebuilding the Engine Under Every Bet Before November 2
Polymarket has started live-testing Protocol V2, a ground-up rewrite of the smart contracts behind its prediction markets, with new markets set to swi...
Oct 6open_in_new
Fed Rate Cut Prediction Odds: Polymarket Zero 2026 Fed Cuts Priced
Polymarket prices a 95.9% chance of zero Fed cuts in 2026, while October and December decisions remain sensitive to inflation and jobs data. The post ...
Oct 6open_in_new
Polymarket overhauls smart contracts with new Protocol V2 rollout
Polymarket begins its Protocol V2 rollout ahead of a planned November transition for new prediction markets, while existing positions remain on the cu...
Oct 6open_in_new
Polymarket Takes Dutch Gambling Regulator to Court Over Its Ban
Polymarket is asking a Dutch court to overturn the Netherlands’ ban on its prediction market, arguing it offers financial products that belong under t...
Oct 6open_in_new
Polymarket unveils Protocol V2, with full switchover for new markets on Nov 2
Polymarket's Protocol V2 enhances flexibility and efficiency, potentially reshaping market dynamics and developer engagement in prediction markets. Th...
Oct 6open_in_new
US Midterms Polymarket Odds: What a 66.5% Democratic Sweep Price Means for Crypto Policy
Polymarket prices a Democratic Congress sweep at 66.5%, but the market is not a poll or a direct signal for crypto prices or policy. The post US Midte...
Oct 5open_in_new
Prediction Markets Beat Traditional Polls in Brazilian Election
While some national polls favored President Lula over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, Polymarket accurately predicted the opposite outcome days before the p...
Oct 5open_in_new
Galaxy Finds 7 in 10 Polymarket Retail Traders Lost Money
Galaxy studied 2.9 million human-paced Polymarket accounts and found that losses dominated. Interestingly, sports specialists performed worst among ma...
Oct 4open_in_new
Bitcoin Price at $85K as Bettors Eye $100K, ChatGPT Calls $94K
Bitcoin’s price spent Saturday trapped close to $85,000 after Friday’s charge above $87,000 collapsed, but the forecasts surrounding it were anything ...
Oct 3open_in_new
Bitcoin Price to Reach $90K in October? Polymarket Sets Odds at 60%
Polymarket traders give a 59.5% chance that bitcoin touches $90,000 before October ends, and a 49.5% chance that it drops to $80,000. The Contract Pol...
Oct 2open_in_new
Anthropic IPO Polymarket Betting Odds of 2026 IPO Hit 82%
Polymarket puts Anthropic’s year-end 2026 IPO odds at 82%, with November favored. Here’s what the timing and valuation markets signal. The post Anthro...
Oct 1open_in_new
Galaxy Research finds 69% of Polymarket retail accounts lose money
High loss rates in prediction markets may deter retail participation, potentially skewing outcomes and reducing market diversity and accuracy. The pos...
Oct 1open_in_new
Polymarket traders put October Fed hike odds at 37%, with no change at 61%
Market volatility reflects uncertainty in economic data, influencing investor sentiment and potential monetary policy adjustments. The post Polymarket...
Sep 30open_in_new
Polymarket introduces sportsbook-style safeguards amid regulatory scrutiny
Polymarket's legal challenges highlight the tension between state and federal oversight, potentially reshaping the regulatory landscape for prediction...
Sep 30open_in_new
CFTC Readies Action on Prediction Market Promos, Expected This Week
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is reviewing the bonuses and incentive programs used by prediction markets, with an announcement of some kind...
Sep 30open_in_new
Polymarket introduces self-exclusion features and deposit caps to address gambling risks
Polymarket's new safety features may influence regulatory standards for prediction markets, potentially reshaping their legal landscape. The post Poly...
Sep 30open_in_new
FOMC Polymarket Odds: A Rate Hold Regains the Edge in October Pricing
Polymarket pricing now gives a hold a 58.5% chance at the October Fed meeting after hike odds fell 27 points in 24 hours on September 30. The post FOM...
Sep 30open_in_new
Rep. Comer Targets 3 Platforms in Expanded Prediction Market Probe
House Oversight Chairman James Comer has expanded Congress’s prediction market insider trading investigation to Hyperliquid, Crypto.com, and Predictit...
Sep 29open_in_new
Iran War Polymarket Odds: $33.5M Placed on a 2027 Blockade End
Polymarket’s Iran blockade market puts a 74.5% chance on a qualifying U.S. announcement by March 31, 2027, amid $33.5M in cumulative volume. The post ...
Sep 29open_in_new
Polymarket hires Goldman Sachs veteran Lisa Mantil to boost Wall Street liquidity
Polymarket's strategic hires signal a shift towards integrating traditional finance expertise, potentially transforming prediction markets' role in gl...
Sep 29open_in_new
Bitcoin Price to Hit $100K in 2026? Kalshi Gives It a 34% Chance
Kalshi traders pushed the odds of bitcoin hitting $100,000 in 2026 from 17% to 43% in under a week, and now, with bitcoin’s price slipping yesterday, ...
Sep 29open_in_new
Polymarket launches 15-minute Bitcoin price markets on US app
Polymarket's new Bitcoin markets could reshape crypto trading dynamics, prompting regulatory scrutiny and influencing competitors' strategies. The pos...
Sep 28open_in_new
Polymarket’s expansion into US stocks raises regulatory concerns
Polymarket's US stock expansion highlights regulatory challenges, potentially reshaping prediction markets and impacting industry compliance norms. Th...
Sep 28open_in_new
Peter Brandt Predicts $8,600 ETH, Coinbase Adds IPO Share Trading, And More – Week In Review
This week’s stories spanned politics, markets, Bitcoin history and exchange expansion. Trump-linked accounts bought MSTR near its lows before an 80% r...
Sep 27open_in_new
Fed October Decision Polymarket Odds: October Rate Hike Sits at 64%
Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market are facing a renewed macroeconomic headwind as traders increasingly anticipate another Federal Reserve int...
Sep 27open_in_new
Ethereum, Solana and Zcash Face Wild Year-End Price Predictions
Three cryptocurrencies, three very different bets and millions of dollars riding on what happens before New Year’s Day. Prediction markets on Polymark...
Sep 26open_in_new
New York Sues Polymarket Over Alleged Illegal Gambling Operation
New York Attorney General Letitia James and Governor Kathy Hochul have announced a lawsuit against Polymarket US. The state alleges the prediction pla...
Sep 25open_in_new
New York Sues Polymarket, Calling Prediction Market an Illegal Gambling Operation
Bitcoin Magazine New York Sues Polymarket, Calling Prediction Market an Illegal Gambling Operation Attorney General Letitia James and Governor Kathy ...
Sep 24open_in_new
New York Wants to Ban Polymarket, Lawsuit Calls It 'Illegal Gambling Operation'
Attorney General Letitia James and Governor Kathy Hochul allege the prediction market operates without a license and exposes New Yorkers to gambling h...
Sep 24open_in_new