
Trump backs ethics provision in CLARITY Act, boosting Senate prospects
Trump backs ethics provision in the CLARITY Act, boosting Senate prospects. CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026 at 31.5% YES. The post Trump backs eth...
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Trump backs ethics provision in the CLARITY Act, boosting Senate prospects. CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026 at 31.5% YES. The post Trump backs eth...

Crude oil prices fell, with WTI at $89.77 and Brent at $91.93. New all-time high by September 30 at 9% YES. The post Crude oil prices fall as WTI drop...

Pakistan and Iran are exploring new US talks amid a China-led push. US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES. The post Pakistan, Iran ...

Police support the Clarity Act, easing concerns over crypto crime investigations. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 37.5% YES. The post Police ba...

Houthis impose blockade on Saudi-linked shipping in the Red Sea. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 20.5% YES. The post Houthi...

Trump supports stronger rules in the Clarity Act, boosting its passage prospects. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 37.5% YES. The post Trump bac...

Residents return to Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh after Israeli troop withdrawal. Withdrawal beyond the Litani River by December 31 at 35% YES. The post Residen...

Physical oil prices near $110 as conflicts disrupt supply. New all-time high by December 31 at 19% YES. The post Physical oil prices near $110 as Iran...

Kuwait's air defenses respond to drone threats amid Iran-Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 45% YES. The post K...

Iran blames the US for stalled talks amid conflict tensions. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.3% YES. The post Iran blames US approach for s...
The European Union has added cryptocurrency exchange HTX to its latest package of sanctions against Russia, expanding efforts to restrict financial ne...

Ukrainian drone strikes hit Wildberries warehouses, disrupting Russian military supply. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES. Th...

BTC has dropped by roughly three grand after marking a local peak at $67,000. Strategy doesn't want to buy or sell, while a derivatives giant says goo...

Netanyahu is set to visit Washington for talks with Trump and attend Graham's funeral. Meeting by July 31, 2026 priced at 90.5% YES. The post Netanyah...

Netanyahu to meet Trump at the White House on Tuesday. Meeting by July 31, 2026 at 91.5% YES. The post Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House Tuesday ...

Galaxy Research lowers odds for the Clarity Act to become law in 2026 from 50% to 30%. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 30% YES. The post Galaxy...

10-year Treasury yield rises to 4.7%, highest of Trump's second term. Fed pause in next three meetings at 34% YES. The post 10-year Treasury yield und...

Iran peace talks collapse triggers oil price surge. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 19% YES. The post Iran peace talks collap...

S&P Global flash US PMI data for July shows manufacturing at 53.8, services above 53, and composite at an eight-month high of 53.6, signaling The post...

Anduril Industries is in talks to raise funding at a $100 billion valuation, nearly doubling its $61 billion Series H from just two months ago. The po...

US weapons stocks are depleting amid ongoing strikes with Iran. US-Iran deal by 2026 at 29% YES, uranium enrichment cap at 32.5% YES, and enrichment m...

Explosive-laden drones targeted a U.S. base in Iraq amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES. The post...

US and Ukraine push to resume peace talks with Russia for a partial ceasefire. Ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026 at 36.5% YES. The post US, Ukr...

The ECB kept interest rates unchanged at 2.25% and released digital euro rulebook version 0.91, advancing its CBDC timeline toward a 2029 launch. The ...

Jordanian army intercepts Iranian drones and missiles. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 12.5% YES. The post Jordanian army in...

Bank of America strategist calls for a Fed rate hike to stabilize the Treasury market. Rate hike by September 2026 at 61% YES. The post Bank of Americ...

Iran claims to have struck US facilities, destroying a Patriot system. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 38% YES. The post Iran claims strike on US ...

Drone strike hits Saudi logistics depot amid escalating Iran-U.S.-Israel tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES....

Drone strike hits a U.S. logistics depot in Saudi Arabia amid Iran tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES. The post Dron...

Sirens and unconfirmed explosions were reported at a U.S. base in Saudi Arabia. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES. Th...