
Iran-US conflict escalates as both target infrastructure amid strait tensions
Iran and the US escalate conflict by targeting infrastructure. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by August 31 at 12.5% YES. The post Iran-US confli...
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Iran and the US escalate conflict by targeting infrastructure. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by August 31 at 12.5% YES. The post Iran-US confli...

Justin Bieber, Shakira, Madonna, and BTS confirmed for the 2026 World Cup halftime show. Harry Styles' performance now at 0.5% YES. The post Justin bi...

Lamine Yamal gains attention as a potential successor to Messi ahead of the World Cup final. Yamal winning Young Player Award at 64.5% YES. The post G...

China claims the US has restored Hong Kong's privileges, signaling improved ties. Xi Jinping's visit to the US before 2027 at 86% YES. The post China ...

US consumer sentiment improved in July amid rising Middle East tensions. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post US co...

US supports Iraq-Syria pipeline project for energy security. WTI reaching $110 by July 2026 at 5.3% YES. The post The US welcomes cooperation between ...

House Financial Services Committee will hold a hearing on the CLARITY Act in New York. Act signed into law in 2026 at 32.5% YES. The post UPDATE: The ...

Colombia and Slovenia plan to move their embassies to Jerusalem, signaling a shift toward Israel. US recognition of Palestine before 2027 at 3.7% YES....

Israel's aggressive security stance reduces chances for talks with Hezbollah. Meeting by July 31, 2026 at 2.4% YES. The post Attack, not defend: Israe...
US airstrike severely damaged an IRGC base in Rask, raising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES. The post IR...

Clarity Act passage odds fall to a record low amid Senate delays. Passage by 2026 now at 24% YES. The post Polymarket odds on clarity act passage fall...

US expands military strikes in response to Iranian attacks. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% YES, airspace closure by August 31 at 41% YES. Th...

Explosions reported in Bandar Abbas amid rising tensions. Diplomatic meeting with the US by August 31, 2026 at 43% YES. The post Iran’s nour news, cit...

Meta is in talks to lease $10B in AI computing power to Anthropic. Anthropic's valuation hitting $1.25T by December 31 at 91.5% YES. The post Meta eye...

Zelensky's dismissal of Defense Minister Fedorov sparks protests and raises concerns. Peace deal with Russia before 2027 now at 19.5% YES. The post Ze...

New footage shows secondary explosions at a Kurdish base in Sulaymaniyah after an Iranian strike. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES. The...

Moonshot AI's 2.8-trillion-parameter model tops Fable 5 on a creative writing benchmark and leads Arena AI's frontend code leaderboard—at Claude Sonne...

France and England meet in the World Cup bronze final on July 18 at Hard Rock Stadium, with crypto prediction markets eyeing the Mbapp-Kane Golden Boo...

Apple filed a federal lawsuit against OpenAI and sent preservation letters to 40 former employees, alleging systematic theft of hardware trade secrets...

Valar Atomics is seeking $1B at a $5B valuation with Sequoia in talks to lead, days after achieving nuclear criticality at its Utah test site. The pos...

Messi and Yamal are the only players with 20+ dribbles at the 2026 World Cup, sparking unofficial $YAMAL fan tokens on Solana amid speculation. The po...

Rep. Timmons calls the CLARITY Act critical for the US economy at a House hearing, as the crypto regulatory bill faces 44-50% odds of passing the Sena...

NATO commits 70B annually to Ukraine without U.S. funding. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21% YES. The post NATO commits €70B annua...

Senator Cynthia Lummis is backing the CLARITY Act, calling it the US's last real shot at digital asset regulation before 2030. Here's what the bill do...

Senator Lummis backs the CLARITY Act for digital asset reform. Act signed into law by 2026 at 34.5% YES. The post Senator Lummis backs CLARITY Act for...

California's billionaire tax proposal will be on the November 2026 ballot. Tax passing at 31% YES. The post California billionaire tax proposal to app...

US forces destroyed an IRGC surveillance tower at Chabahar port for the third time, targeting Iran's maritime monitoring capacity near the Strait of H...

Iran hardliners face backlash as US strike costs rise. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 25.5% YES. The post Iran hardliners blamed ...

Ashley Webb's viral debate moment shifts the race for Maine's Senate nomination. Troy Jackson's candidacy now at 89.5% YES. The post Trans activist As...

Senate expected to pass market structure bill next week, impacting crypto. Bitcoin reaching $160K by December 31, 2026 priced at 2.6% YES. The post Se...