Moonshot AI announcement sends US tech stocks tumbling
Moonshot AI's announcement causes U.S. tech stocks to drop. Alphabet's chance to be the second-largest company by market cap on July 31 at 5.5% YES. T...
Jul 19open_in_new
AT (AT) — News
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Middle East tensions, low inventories drive Brent crude forecast to $96 this year
Brent crude is projected to average $96 this year amid low inventories and Middle East tensions. New all-time high by December 31 at 15% YES. The post...
Jul 19open_in_new
Russian missile strikes on Kyiv kill 1, injure 9 amid ongoing conflict
Russian missile strikes on Kyiv kill 1 and injure 9. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21% YES. The post Russian missile strikes on Ky...
Jul 19open_in_new
Moonshot AI’s Yang Zhilin presents Kimi K3 at GTC 2026, taking aim at OpenAI and Anthropic
Moonshot AI's Yang Zhilin unveiled Kimi K3 at GTC 2026, a 2.8T-parameter open-weight AI model backed by $2B in funding and a $20B valuation. The post ...
Jul 19open_in_new
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says $60,000 is Bitcoin’s bottom
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says Bitcoin bottomed at $60,000, citing halving cycles. But on-chain data and community polls suggest the market isn't T...
Jul 19open_in_new
US completes eighth consecutive night of strikes against Iran: Centcom
US conducts eighth night of strikes against Iran. IAEA visits to nuclear sites by December 31 at 27.5% YES. The post US completes eighth consecutive n...
Jul 19open_in_new
Ralph Norman announces bid for US Senate seat, leads GOP primary polls
Ralph Norman announced his bid for the U.S. Senate seat and leads GOP primary polls. Norman as Republican nominee at 21.5% YES. The post Ralph Norman ...
Jul 19open_in_new
US Army targets IRGC units amid escalating conflict with Iran
US Army targets IRGC units amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES. The post US Army targets IRGC units ...
Jul 19open_in_new
US strikes target Iranian air defense systems amid 2026 Iran War escalation
US strikes hit Iranian air defense systems amid ongoing conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 56% YES. The post US stri...
Jul 19open_in_new
US airstrikes target Iranian military sites for eighth consecutive night
US airstrikes hit Iranian military sites for the eighth night. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 56.5% YES. The post US airst...
Jul 19open_in_new
Apple surpasses Nvidia as most valuable company amid AI market shift
Apple surpasses Nvidia as the most valuable company at $4.88 trillion. Apple largest by July 31 at 44% YES. The post Apple surpasses Nvidia as most va...
Jul 19open_in_new
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CLARITY Act Delivers 3 Key Benefits for Developers, Investors, and Markets, Senator Says
U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis highlighted three key benefits of the CLARITY Act, arguing that the legislation would form part of a broader digital asset...
Jul 19open_in_new
Samsung to unveil Android-based smart glasses with Google this week
Samsung reveals its Android XR smart glasses at Galaxy Unpacked in London on July 22, taking on Meta with Gemini AI audio eyewear launching fall 2026....
Jul 19open_in_new
Kimi K3 writes H100 CUDA kernel 14.82x faster than PyTorch, intensifying US-China AI race
Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 generates an H100 CUDA kernel 14.82x faster than PyTorch. The 2.8T parameter open-weight model challenges top US AI labs at GPU ...
Jul 19open_in_new
Trump justifies US strikes on Iran to prevent nuclear weapon development
Trump justifies U.S. strikes on Iran to prevent nuclear development. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 28.5% YES. The post Trump justifies US s...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran missile attack on Jordan base kills 2 US troops, 1 missing
Iran missile attack on Jordan base kills 2 US troops. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 34.5% YES. The post Iran missile attack on Jordan base kills...
Jul 19open_in_new
US military strikes site near Shadegan, Iran amid escalating 2026 conflict
US military strikes near Shadegan, Iran escalate tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 54.5% YES. The post US military strikes site near Sha...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran targets US military facilities at two Kuwait bases: state TV
Iran targeted U.S. military facilities at two bases in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 58% YES. The post Iran targets US mi...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran strikes US military targets at two Kuwait bases amid 2026 Iran war
Iran strikes US military targets in Kuwait amid ongoing conflict. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 58% YES. The post Iran strikes US...
Jul 19open_in_new
Two US service members killed; Trump poised for rapid escalation against Iran
Two U.S. service members were killed, increasing fears of escalation. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 8.8% YES. The post Two US service mem...
Jul 19open_in_new
US oil exports decline after record surge in April 2026
US oil exports decline after record surge in April 2026. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 7.6% YES. The post US oil exports d...
Jul 19open_in_new
Israeli military strikes Hezbollah militants amid 2026 Lebanon war
Israeli military strikes Hezbollah amid ongoing conflict. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 1.1% YES. The post Israeli military strikes Hezboll...
Jul 19open_in_new
Russia warns Middle East tensions could trigger record energy crisis
Russia warns of a potential record energy crisis due to Middle East tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 15% YES. The po...
Jul 19open_in_new
Oil could hit $250 as Iran tensions threaten global recession
Oil prices could surge to $250 amid Iran tensions. New all-time high by September 30 at 7.4% YES, by December 31 at 15% YES. The post Oil could hit $2...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran exports 70M barrels of oil to China during brief US blockade lift
Iran exported 70 million barrels of oil to China during a brief U.S. blockade lift. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by August 31 at 9.5% YES. T...
Jul 19open_in_new
Novogratz: CLARITY Act nearing finalization, urges bipartisan Senate action
Novogratz says the CLARITY Act is nearing finalization and urges Senate action. Act signed into law in 2026 at 42.5% YES. The post Novogratz: CLARITY ...
Jul 19open_in_new
Ripple’s CLARITY Act Campaign Returns as Senate Democrats Challenge Crypto Bill
Ripple returned its CLARITY truck to Washington, D.C., as several Senate Democrats challenged the CLARITY Act’s current version, putting needed crosso...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran threatens Gulf airports, ports amid escalating 2026 war tensions
Iran threatens Gulf airports and ports amid rising tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 9.5% YES. The post Iran threatens Gulf ai...
Jul 19open_in_new
China discovers largest gold deposit since 1949, valued at €166B
China discovers its largest gold deposit since 1949, valued at 166B. Gold reaching $4,600 in July 2026 at 0.5% YES. The post China discovers largest g...
Jul 19open_in_new
Iran attacks Kurdistan Freedom Party bases in Iraq amid 2026 crisis
Iran attacks Kurdish bases in Iraq amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 51.5% YES. The post Iran attacks Kurdistan Freedom Part...
Jul 18open_in_new