Iran strikes US targets with increasing precision amid 2026 conflict
Iran strikes U.S. targets with greater precision amid ongoing conflict. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 1.8% YES. The post Iran strikes US ta...
Jul 20open_in_new
AT (AT) — News
4,429 articles · updated every 3 minutes
Iran warns of repercussions if US attempts to seize Kharg Island
Iran warns of repercussions if the US tries to seize Kharg Island. Control lost by July 31 at 2.7% YES. The post Iran warns of repercussions if US att...
Jul 20open_in_new
Russian strikes kill 28 in Ukraine’s Odesa region in July, governor reports
Russian strikes killed 28 in Odesa, escalating the conflict. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES. The post Russian strikes kil...
Jul 20open_in_new
Brent crude jumps 14% amid US-Iran tensions disrupting oil supply routes
Brent crude oil prices surged 14% due to US-Iran tensions disrupting supply routes. Oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 11.5% YES. The ...
Jul 20open_in_new
Iran’s interior minister visits Pakistan amid US-Iran tensions
Iran's Interior Minister visits Pakistan amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026 at 45.5% YES. The post Iran’s interior ministe...
Jul 20open_in_new
US gasoline prices hit $4 per gallon amid renewed Middle East conflict
US gasoline prices hit $4 per gallon due to Middle East conflict. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 12% YES. The post US gasoli...
Jul 20open_in_new
US deploys 100 refueling tankers to Israel amid Iran conflict escalation
US deploys 100 refueling tankers to Israel amid Iran conflict escalation. Iran reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 26.5% YES. The post...
Jul 20open_in_new
Iran emphasizes diplomacy and defense as complementary in US conflict
Iran emphasizes the importance of diplomacy alongside defense. Next US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.7% YES. The post Iran emphasizes...
Jul 20open_in_new
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Drake Loses $1.5 Million Bet as Spain Beats Argentina in World Cup Final
Canadian rapper Drake lost a 1.5 million tether (USDT) wager on Argentina after Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup final 1-0 on Sunday, sealing the lat...
Jul 20open_in_new
China, US discuss potential Xi visit this year amid diplomatic efforts
China confirms talks with the US about a potential Xi visit this year. Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027 at 92.5% YES. The post China, US discuss...
Jul 20open_in_new
Blackstone invests in South Korean actuator maker Futronic in deal valued at around $676M
Blackstone has agreed to invest in Futronic, a South Korean actuator maker, in a deal valued at around $676 million, targeting the robotics and automa...
Jul 20open_in_new
Solana non-USDC/USDT stablecoin supply hits record $5B
Solana's non-USDC/USDT stablecoin supply hits a record $4.81 billion. Solana reaching $90 by July 2026 at 5% YES. The post Solana non-USDC/USDT stable...
Jul 20open_in_new
US strike near Urmia targets IRGC amid 2026 Iran war escalation
US strike near Urmia targets IRGC amid escalating conflict. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES. The post US strike near Urmia targets IRG...
Jul 20open_in_new
Moonshot AI unveils Kimi K3 model, challenging Anthropic and OpenAI
Moonshot AI launches Kimi K3 model, challenging Anthropic. Anthropic's valuation hitting high of $1.25T by December at 91.5% YES. The post Moonshot AI...
Jul 20open_in_new
American projectiles hit Iran’s Bushehr province amid 2026 conflict escalation
American projectiles hit Iran's Bushehr province amid escalating conflict. U.S. war declaration on Iran by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES. The post Ame...
Jul 20open_in_new
Bahrain intercepts Iranian attacks amid ongoing US-Iran conflict
Bahrain intercepts Iranian attacks amid US-Iran conflict. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63.5% YES. The post Bahrain inter...
Jul 20open_in_new
Iran launches missiles, drones targeting Gulf nations amid escalating tensions
Iran launches missiles and drones targeting Gulf nations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 63.5% YES. The post Iran launches missile...
Jul 20open_in_new
US military attack in Tabriz kills one, injures several: Iran International
US military attack in Tabriz kills one and injures several. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 30.5% YES. The post US military attack in Tabriz kills ...
Jul 20open_in_new
Baichuan Intelligence pushes toward 2027 IPO after raising $700M as China’s AI race heats up
Baichuan Intelligence, valued at over $2.7B after a $700M Series A, targets a 2027 IPO as China's AI startups race toward public markets. The post Bai...
Jul 20open_in_new
Oil hits $90 as US-Iran tensions threaten Strait of Hormuz shipments
Oil prices rise to $90 amid US-Iran tensions. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 14.5% YES. The post Oil hits $90 as US-Iran ten...
Jul 20open_in_new
Jeff Bezos backs $450M round for AI materials startup CuspAI as tech capital hunts for real-world AI bets
Jeff Bezos backs a $450M funding round for CuspAI, a Cambridge AI startup valued at $2.6B that uses generative AI for materials discovery in clean tec...
Jul 20open_in_new
Explosions in Manama amid Iran-US tensions escalate in Gulf
Explosions reported in Manama amid rising Iran-US tensions. Military action by Iran against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63.5% YES. The post Explosions ...
Jul 20open_in_new
Xi Jinping’s US visit in September confirmed despite Trump accusations
Xi Jinping's US visit in September 2026 confirmed by Secretary of State Rubio. Visit before 2027 at 92.5% YES. The post Xi Jinping’s US visit in Septe...
Jul 20open_in_new
US-Iran tensions push Brent crude to $90, dollar strengthens
Brent crude prices surge to $90 amid US-Iran tensions. WTI reaching $110 by July 2026 at 4.8% YES. The post US-Iran tensions push Brent crude to $90, ...
Jul 20open_in_new
Russia pounds Kyiv amid NATO warning on Baltic defense
Russia intensifies aerial assault on Kyiv amid NATO warnings. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 18% YES. The post Russia pounds Kyiv a...
Jul 20open_in_new
US-Iran tensions rise amid 31% invasion probability by 2027: Polymarket
US-Iran tensions rise with a 31% chance of US invasion by 2027. Invasion by 2027 priced at 31% YES. The post US-Iran tensions rise amid 31% invasion p...
Jul 20open_in_new
Kuwait intercepts Iranian drones amid escalating Gulf tensions
Kuwait intercepted Iranian drones amid rising Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES. The post Kuwait inter...
Jul 20open_in_new
Hyperliquid to enable permissionless deployment for HIP-4 markets in upcoming upgrade
Hyperliquid announced permissionless deployment for HIP-4 markets in an upcoming upgrade. Hyperliquid reaching $100 by December 31, 2026 at 29% YES. T...
Jul 20open_in_new
US deploys F-16s, F-35s to Middle East amid Iran tensions
US deploys F-16s and F-35s to the Middle East amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES. The post US deplo...
Jul 20open_in_new
KKR and AEW are trying to dump Chinese commercial real estate at steep losses
KKR and AEW Capital Management are marketing commercial real estate in China at steep losses as the country's property sector continues to deteriorate...
Jul 20open_in_new